Alexander Zverev vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Cincinnati Masters Round of 16

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 16
Alexander Zverev
GER3
Alexander Zverev
#3ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP
Pablo Carreno Busta
#71ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Zverev A.
7-5 7-6
Carreno Busta P.
Zverev A.
7782
Carreno Busta P.
5660

Alexander Zverev defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 7-5 7-6 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's semi-final. Alexander Zverev extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

3–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-04-11Monte Carlo MastersR16clayAlexander Zverev6-2 7-5
2020-08-31US OpenSFhardAlexander Zverev3-6 2-6 6-3 6-4 6-3
2018-03-19Miami MastersSFhardAlexander Zverev7-6(4) 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Zverev A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Serve advantage — Zverev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zverev A.Carreno Busta P.
71
Serve
21
42
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Zverev A.Carreno Busta P.
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.5
3.1
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 115). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Zverev A.Carreno Busta P.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
94
78
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Dominant
90
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
80
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Zverev A.
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Carreno Busta P.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.9+298 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.1Hard Elo 1744
9.1Overall Elo 2100
ELO gap
0.9Overall Elo 1801
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.9
Surface form
4.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
7.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
6.0
Country comfort
5.5
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Zverev A.Carreno Busta P.
Freshness·Dominant
45
89

Zverev A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 134 games (7d) · Carreno Busta P.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 47%
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Tiafoe F.
7-646-2
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Zverev A.[3]
7-695-77-64
Tiafoe F.
Rune H.[15]
4-66-17-64
Quarter-finals
Tiafoe F.
Hurkacz H.[5]
6-30-0
Sinner J.[1]
Rublev A.[6]
4-67-56-4
Zverev A.[3]
Shelton B.[12]
3-67-637-5
Rune H.[15]
Draper J.
6-46-2
R16
Sinner J.[1]
Thompson J.
W/O
Hurkacz H.[5]
Cobolli F.
6-33-66-1
Tiafoe F.
Lehecka J.
6-46-7107-65
Rublev A.[6]
Nakashima B.
7-656-1
Zverev A.[3]
Carreno Busta P.
7-57-66
Shelton B.[12]
Marozsan F.
6-46-3
Draper J.
Auger Aliassime F.
5-76-46-4
Rune H.[15]
Monfils G.
3-66-36-4
R32
Nakashima B.
Fils A.
7-57-63
Cobolli F.
Darderi L.
7-643-1
Marozsan F.
Dimitrov G.[8]
4-66-46-3
Hurkacz H.[5]
Nishioka Y.
3-67-646-1
Rublev A.[6]
Zhang Z.
6-46-3
Zverev A.[3]
Khachanov K.
6-36-2
Carreno Busta P.
Purcell M.
6-36-3
Shelton B.[12]
Etcheverry T.
6-767-676-3
Lehecka J.
Medvedev D.[4]
7-626-4
Auger Aliassime F.
Ruud C.[7]
6-36-1
Draper J.
Tsitsipas S.[9]
3-66-47-5
Rune H.[15]
Borges N.
6-37-68
Monfils G.
Alcaraz C.[2]
4-67-656-4
Tiafoe F.
Musetti L.[14]
6-36-2
Sinner J.[1]
Michelsen A.
6-47-5
Thompson J.
Baez S.
6-26-4
R64
Baez S.
Giron M.
6-45-77-66
Thompson J.
Humbert U.[13]
3-66-37-64
Shelton B.[12]
Opelka R.
7-637-63
Purcell M.
Machac T.
6-47-61
Cobolli F.
Paul T.[10]
6-24-67-5
Lehecka J.
Navone M.
7-636-3
Nakashima B.
Fritz T.[11]
6-44-67-64
Draper J.
Munar J.
7-53-67-65
Fils A.
Holt B.
6-46-1
Zhang Z.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-37-64
Khachanov K.
Cerundolo F.
6-06-3
Carreno Busta P.
Korda S.[16]
7-56-1
Marozsan F.
Moutet C.
6-47-62
Nishioka Y.
Kecmanovic M.
6-47-5
Darderi L.
Tabilo A.
6-37-65
Musetti L.[14]
Jarry N.
4-67-657-64
Tiafoe F.
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-37-66
Auger Aliassime F.
Kovacevic A.
6-36-1
Tsitsipas S.[9]
Struff J.
4-66-46-3
Rune H.[15]
Berrettini M.
2-66-16-4
Borges N.
Mannarino A.
6-43-66-1
Monfils G.
Popyrin A.
7-56-3
Etcheverry T.
Arnaldi M.
6-36-736-2
Michelsen A.
Griekspoor T.
6-15-76-2