Alexander Zverev vs Pablo Carreno BustaMonte Carlo Masters Round of 16

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#2ATP
2100ELO
2051Clay ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 11 April 2022
clay
#65ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Zverev A.
6-2 7-5
Carreno Busta P.
Zverev A.
672
Carreno Busta P.
250

Alexander Zverev defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-2 7-5 in the Monte Carlo Masters round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 16. Alexander Zverev extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersR16hardAlexander Zverev7-5 7-6(6)
2020-08-31US OpenSFhardAlexander Zverev3-6 2-6 6-3 6-4 6-3
2018-03-19Miami MastersSFhardAlexander Zverev7-6(4) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Zverev A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Serve advantage — Zverev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Zverev A.Carreno Busta P.
64
Serve
57
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.5
3.6
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 183). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
94
78
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Dominant
90
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
80
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.8+285 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.2Clay Elo 1767
9.1Overall Elo 2100
ELO gap
0.9Overall Elo 1801
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.6
Surface form
7.2
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
39
92

Zverev A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 148 games (7d) · Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 40%