Alexander Zverev vs Pablo Carreno BustaMiami Masters Semi-final

Miami Masters · ATP · Semi-final
#2ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 March 2018
hard
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Zverev A.
7-6 6-2
Carreno Busta P.
Zverev A.
7762
Carreno Busta P.
6420

Alexander Zverev defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 7-6 6-2 in the Miami Masters semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Alexander Zverev extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersR16hardAlexander Zverev7-5 7-6(6)
2022-04-11Monte Carlo MastersR16clayAlexander Zverev6-2 7-5
2020-08-31US OpenSFhardAlexander Zverev3-6 2-6 6-3 6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Zverev A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zverev A.Carreno Busta P.
71
Serve
21
42
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.5
3.7
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
94
78
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Dominant
90
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
80
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
39
92

Zverev A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 148 games (7d) · Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
28°CDrizzle
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 63%
Semi-finals
Isner J.[14]
del Potro J.[5]
6-17-62
Zverev A.[4]
Carreno Busta P.[16]
7-646-2