Pablo Carreno Busta vs Sebastian Korda — Cincinnati Masters Round of 64

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 64
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP
Pablo Carreno Busta
#71ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
Sebastian Korda
USA16
Sebastian Korda
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
Carreno Busta P.
7-5 6-1
Korda S.
Carreno Busta P.
762
Korda S.
510

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Sebastian Korda 7-5 6-1 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Korda came in ranked #63, defending last year's round of 64. Pablo Carreno Busta extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Pablo Carreno Busta came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-06-13HalleR16grassPablo Carreno Busta6-4 0-6 6-3
2022-01-17Australian OpenR32hardPablo Carreno Busta6-4 7-5 6-7(6) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Korda S.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carreno Busta P.Korda S.
21
Serve
61
44
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Carreno Busta P.Korda S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
58%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.1
8.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (115 vs 113). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carreno Busta P.Korda S.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
87
Break points saved·Even
97
98
Break points won·Clear edge
61
73
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
96
Tiebreaks·Even
95
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carreno Busta P.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Korda S.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1744
Surface ELO
7.0+21 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1809
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.1
Surface form
8.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
1.3
7.0
3-set count
4.0
6.0
Prev. match
5.5
Country comfort
7.5
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carreno Busta P.Korda S.
Freshness·
90
—

Carreno Busta P.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 47%
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Tiafoe F.
7-646-2
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Zverev A.[3]
7-695-77-64
Tiafoe F.
Rune H.[15]
4-66-17-64
Quarter-finals
Tiafoe F.
Hurkacz H.[5]
6-30-0
Sinner J.[1]
Rublev A.[6]
4-67-56-4
Zverev A.[3]
Shelton B.[12]
3-67-637-5
Rune H.[15]
Draper J.
6-46-2
R16
Sinner J.[1]
Thompson J.
W/O
Hurkacz H.[5]
Cobolli F.
6-33-66-1
Tiafoe F.
Lehecka J.
6-46-7107-65
Rublev A.[6]
Nakashima B.
7-656-1
Zverev A.[3]
Carreno Busta P.
7-57-66
Shelton B.[12]
Marozsan F.
6-46-3
Draper J.
Auger Aliassime F.
5-76-46-4
Rune H.[15]
Monfils G.
3-66-36-4
R32
Nakashima B.
Fils A.
7-57-63
Cobolli F.
Darderi L.
7-643-1
Marozsan F.
Dimitrov G.[8]
4-66-46-3
Hurkacz H.[5]
Nishioka Y.
3-67-646-1
Rublev A.[6]
Zhang Z.
6-46-3
Zverev A.[3]
Khachanov K.
6-36-2
Carreno Busta P.
Purcell M.
6-36-3
Shelton B.[12]
Etcheverry T.
6-767-676-3
Lehecka J.
Medvedev D.[4]
7-626-4
Auger Aliassime F.
Ruud C.[7]
6-36-1
Draper J.
Tsitsipas S.[9]
3-66-47-5
Rune H.[15]
Borges N.
6-37-68
Monfils G.
Alcaraz C.[2]
4-67-656-4
Tiafoe F.
Musetti L.[14]
6-36-2
Sinner J.[1]
Michelsen A.
6-47-5
Thompson J.
Baez S.
6-26-4
R64
Baez S.
Giron M.
6-45-77-66
Thompson J.
Humbert U.[13]
3-66-37-64
Shelton B.[12]
Opelka R.
7-637-63
Purcell M.
Machac T.
6-47-61
Cobolli F.
Paul T.[10]
6-24-67-5
Lehecka J.
Navone M.
7-636-3
Nakashima B.
Fritz T.[11]
6-44-67-64
Draper J.
Munar J.
7-53-67-65
Fils A.
Holt B.
6-46-1
Zhang Z.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-37-64
Khachanov K.
Cerundolo F.
6-06-3
Carreno Busta P.
Korda S.[16]
7-56-1
Marozsan F.
Moutet C.
6-47-62
Nishioka Y.
Kecmanovic M.
6-47-5
Darderi L.
Tabilo A.
6-37-65
Musetti L.[14]
Jarry N.
4-67-657-64
Tiafoe F.
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-37-66
Auger Aliassime F.
Kovacevic A.
6-36-1
Tsitsipas S.[9]
Struff J.
4-66-46-3
Rune H.[15]
Berrettini M.
2-66-16-4
Borges N.
Mannarino A.
6-43-66-1
Monfils G.
Popyrin A.
7-56-3
Etcheverry T.
Arnaldi M.
6-36-736-2
Michelsen A.
Griekspoor T.
6-15-76-2