Pablo Carreno Busta vs Sebastian Korda — Australian Open Round of 32

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 32
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP19
Pablo Carreno Busta
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 January 2022
hard
Sebastian Korda
USA
Sebastian Korda
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
Carreno Busta P.
6-4 7-5 6-7 6-3
Korda S.
Carreno Busta P.
676663
Korda S.
457831

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Sebastian Korda 6-4 7-5 6-7 6-3 in the Australian Open round of 32 on hard. Pablo Carreno Busta extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersR64hardPablo Carreno Busta7-5 6-1
2022-06-13HalleR16grassPablo Carreno Busta6-4 0-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Korda S.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carreno Busta P.Korda S.
21
Serve
61
44
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Carreno Busta P.Korda S.
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.6
8.1
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (183 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carreno Busta P.Korda S.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
87
Break points saved·Even
97
98
Break points won·Clear edge
61
73
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
96
Tiebreaks·Even
95
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carreno Busta P.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Korda S.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1744
Surface ELO
7.0+21 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1809
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
6.9
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
5.5
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carreno Busta P.Korda S.
Freshness·
92
—

Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 68%
Final
Nadal R.[6]
Medvedev D.[2]
2-66-756-46-47-5
Semi-finals
Medvedev D.[2]
Tsitsipas S.[4]
7-654-66-46-1
Nadal R.[6]
Berrettini M.[7]
6-36-23-66-3
Quarter-finals
Berrettini M.[7]
Monfils G.[17]
6-46-43-63-66-2
Nadal R.[6]
Shapovalov D.[14]
6-36-44-63-66-3
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Sinner J.[11]
6-36-46-2
Medvedev D.[2]
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
6-743-67-627-56-4
R16
Nadal R.[6]
Mannarino A.
7-6146-26-2
Monfils G.[17]
Kecmanovic M.
7-57-646-3
Berrettini M.[7]
Carreno Busta P.[19]
7-57-646-4
Shapovalov D.[14]
Zverev A.[3]
6-37-656-3
Sinner J.[11]
De Minaur A.[32]
7-636-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Fritz T.[20]
4-66-44-66-36-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Cilic M.[27]
2-67-676-27-64
Medvedev D.[2]
Cressy M.
6-27-646-747-5
R32
Carreno Busta P.[19]
Korda S.
6-47-56-766-3
Kecmanovic M.
Sonego L.[25]
6-46-786-27-5
Monfils G.[17]
Garin C.[16]
7-646-16-3
Berrettini M.[7]
Alcaraz C.[31]
6-27-634-62-67-65
Zverev A.[3]
Albot R.
6-36-46-4
Shapovalov D.[14]
Opelka R.[23]
7-644-66-36-4
Mannarino A.
Karatsev A.[18]
7-646-747-56-4
Nadal R.[6]
Khachanov K.[28]
6-36-23-66-1
De Minaur A.[32]
Andujar P.
6-46-46-2
Sinner J.[11]
Daniel T.
6-41-66-36-1
Fritz T.[20]
Bautista Agut R.[15]
6-03-63-66-46-3
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Paire B.
6-37-56-726-4
Cilic M.[27]
Rublev A.[5]
7-57-633-66-3
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Evans D.[24]
6-46-16-1
Cressy M.
Oconnell C.
6-26-766-36-2
Medvedev D.[2]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-46-46-2
R64
Evans D.[24]
Rinderknech A.
W/O
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-646-747-657-64
Van De Zandschulp B.
Gasquet R.
4-66-04-0
Bautista Agut R.[15]
Kohlschreiber P.
6-16-06-3
Nadal R.[6]
Hanfmann Y.
6-26-36-4
Daniel T.
Murray A.
6-46-46-4
Paire B.
Dimitrov G.[26]
6-46-46-747-62
Khachanov K.[28]
Bonzi B.
6-46-07-5
Sonego L.[25]
Otte O.
2-66-26-36-1
Andujar P.
Molcan A.
6-47-660-66-1
Zverev A.[3]
Millman J.
6-46-46-0
Kecmanovic M.
Paul T.
7-677-57-68
Monfils G.[17]
Bublik A.
6-16-06-4
Garin C.[16]
Martinez P.
6-717-642-66-26-2
Korda S.
Moutet C.
3-66-46-727-57-66
Carreno Busta P.[19]
Griekspoor T.
6-36-767-633-66-4
Alcaraz C.[31]
Lajovic D.
6-26-17-5
Berrettini M.[7]
Kozlov S.
6-14-66-46-1
Albot R.
Vukic A.
6-47-646-4
Opelka R.[23]
Koepfer D.
6-46-37-64
Shapovalov D.[14]
Kwon S.
7-666-736-767-56-2
Mannarino A.
Hurkacz H.[10]
6-46-26-3
Karatsev A.[18]
Mcdonald M.
3-66-26-26-3
De Minaur A.[32]
Majchrzak K.
6-46-46-2
Sinner J.[11]
Johnson S.
6-26-46-3
Fritz T.[20]
Tiafoe F.
6-46-37-65
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Baez S.
7-616-756-36-4
Rublev A.[5]
Berankis R.
6-46-26-0
Cilic M.[27]
Gombos N.
6-26-33-67-66
Oconnell C.
Schwartzman D.[13]
7-666-46-4
Cressy M.
Machac T.
6-13-66-17-65
Medvedev D.[2]
Kyrgios N.
7-616-44-66-2
R128
Millman J.
Lopez F.
6-16-34-67-5
Johnson S.
Thompson J.
7-656-764-66-36-3
Kecmanovic M.
Caruso S.
6-46-26-1
Vukic A.
Harris L.[30]
4-66-37-57-63
Gombos N.
Skatov T.
6-36-21-66-4
Gasquet R.
Humbert U.[29]
3-67-647-636-3
Opelka R.[23]
Anderson K.
6-36-47-63
Martinez P.
Delbonis F.
7-6153-66-46-2
Majchrzak K.
Seppi A.
6-16-17-5
Paul T.
Kukushkin M.
6-36-46-2
Otte O.
Tseng C.
6-46-36-2
Sonego L.[25]
Querrey S.
7-56-36-3
Monfils G.[17]
Coria F.
6-16-16-3
Bublik A.
Escobedo E.
3-67-656-36-3
Garin C.[16]
Bagnis F.
6-36-45-76-746-3
Korda S.
Norrie C.[12]
6-36-06-4
Moutet C.
Pouille L.
3-66-36-46-3
Griekspoor T.
Fognini F.
6-16-46-4
Carreno Busta P.[19]
Etcheverry T.
6-16-27-62
Alcaraz C.[31]
Tabilo A.
6-26-26-3
Lajovic D.
Fucsovics M.
6-34-66-16-766-1
Kozlov S.
Vesely J.
7-56-36-4
Berrettini M.[7]
Nakashima B.
4-66-27-656-3
Zverev A.[3]
Altmaier D.
7-636-17-61
Albot R.
Nishioka Y.
6-36-44-66-2
Koepfer D.
Taberner C.
6-13-66-46-1
Kwon S.
Rune H.
3-66-43-66-36-2
Shapovalov D.[14]
Djere L.
7-636-43-67-63
Hurkacz H.[10]
Gerasimov E.
6-27-636-756-3
Mannarino A.
Duckworth J.
6-42-63-66-26-1
Mcdonald M.
Milojevic N.
5-76-46-36-2
Karatsev A.[18]
Munar J.
3-67-616-736-46-4
Khachanov K.[28]
Kudla D.
3-66-36-27-62
Bonzi B.
Gojowczyk P.
6-36-36-3
Hanfmann Y.
Kokkinakis T.
6-26-36-2
Nadal R.[6]
Giron M.
6-16-46-2
Molcan A.
Safiullin R.
6-37-695-77-66
Andujar P.
Dzumhur D.
6-17-56-1
De Minaur A.[32]
Musetti L.
3-66-36-06-3
Murray A.
Basilashvili N.[21]
6-13-66-46-756-4
Daniel T.
Barrios Vera T.
7-656-16-1
Sinner J.[11]
Sousa J.
6-47-56-1
Bautista Agut R.[15]
Travaglia S.
7-626-45-76-1
Kohlschreiber P.
Cecchinato M.
6-47-57-60
Tiafoe F.
Trungelliti M.
3-66-46-23-66-3
Fritz T.[20]
Marterer M.
7-686-36-2
Dimitrov G.[26]
Lehecka J.
6-44-66-37-5
Paire B.
Monteiro T.
6-43-67-52-67-5
Baez S.
Ramos A.
6-44-66-31-66-2
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Ymer M.
6-26-46-3
Rublev A.[5]
Mager G.
6-36-26-2
Berankis R.
Carballes Baena R.
6-13-62-66-36-4
Cilic M.[27]
Gomez E.
6-36-16-2
Evans D.[24]
Goffin D.
6-46-36-0
Rinderknech A.
Popyrin A.
7-54-66-23-66-3
Davidovich Fokina A.
Bolt A.
6-36-36-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Ruusuvuori E.
6-40-63-66-36-4
Schwartzman D.[13]
Krajinovic F.
6-36-47-5
Machac T.
Cerundolo J.
6-32-66-46-2
Van De Zandschulp B.
Struff J.
6-46-36-2
Kyrgios N.
Broady L.
6-46-46-3
Medvedev D.[2]
Laaksonen H.
6-16-47-63
Oconnell C.
Gaston H.
7-646-04-66-1
Cressy M.
Isner J.[22]
7-627-56-746-746-4