Pablo Carreno Busta vs Sebastian Korda — Halle Round of 16

Halle · ATP · Round of 16
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP6
Pablo Carreno Busta
#71ATP
1801ELO
1598Grass ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 June 2022
grass
Sebastian Korda
USA
Sebastian Korda
#63ATP
1809ELO
1679Grass ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
Carreno Busta P.
6-4 0-6 6-3
Korda S.
Carreno Busta P.
6062
Korda S.
4631

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Sebastian Korda 6-4 0-6 6-3 in the Halle round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Korda came in ranked #63, defending last year's quarter-final. Pablo Carreno Busta extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersR64hardPablo Carreno Busta7-5 6-1
2022-01-17Australian OpenR32hardPablo Carreno Busta6-4 7-5 6-7(6) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Korda S.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Carreno Busta P.Korda S.
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.6
8.1
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (183 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carreno Busta P.Korda S.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
87
Break points saved·Even
97
98
Break points won·Clear edge
61
73
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
96
Tiebreaks·Even
95
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carreno Busta P.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Korda S.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
2.3Grass Elo 1598
Surface ELO
7.7+81 Grass Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1809
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.0
Surface form
7.6
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carreno Busta P.Korda S.
Freshness·
89
—

Carreno Busta P.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
15°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 72%
Final
Hurkacz H.
Medvedev D.[4]
6-16-4
Semi-finals
Hurkacz H.
Kyrgios N.
4-67-627-64
Medvedev D.[4]
Otte O.
7-636-3
Quarter-finals
Hurkacz H.
Auger Aliassime F.[2]
7-627-64
Kyrgios N.
Carreno Busta P.[6]
6-46-2
Medvedev D.[4]
Bautista Agut R.[5]
6-26-4
Otte O.
Khachanov K.[8]
4-67-656-4
R16
Bautista Agut R.[5]
Griekspoor T.
6-766-46-2
Otte O.
Basilashvili N.
4-66-07-63
Medvedev D.[4]
Ivashka I.
7-646-3
Khachanov K.[8]
Djere L.
7-646-4
Auger Aliassime F.[2]
Mcdonald M.
7-676-1
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Korda S.
6-40-66-3
Kyrgios N.
Tsitsipas S.[2]
5-76-26-4
Hurkacz H.
Humbert U.
7-656-3
R32
Djere L.
Squire H.
4-3
Medvedev D.[4]
Goffin D.
6-36-2
Bautista Agut R.[5]
Fucsovics M.
6-23-0
Basilashvili N.
Rublev A.[8]
7-616-4
Mcdonald M.
Huesler M.
7-646-4
Khachanov K.[8]
Karatsev A.
6-746-16-2
Humbert U.
Albot R.
6-747-647-5
Hurkacz H.
Cressy M.
6-44-66-4
Auger Aliassime F.[2]
Giron M.
6-35-76-3
Kyrgios N.
Altmaier D.
6-37-5
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Rune H.
6-37-65
Korda S.
Garin C.
6-26-3
Tsitsipas S.[2]
Bonzi B.
7-611-66-3
Ivashka I.
Struff J.
3-66-37-65
Griekspoor T.
Molcan A.
7-6106-3
Otte O.
Kecmanovic M.
7-656-4