Jessica Pegula vs Karolina PliskovaToronto Round of 32

Toronto · WTA · Round of 32
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 August 2024
hard
#73WTA
1869ELO
1811Hard ELO
34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Pegula J.
7-5 6-4
Pliskova K.
Pegula J.
762
Pliskova K.
540

Jessica Pegula defeated Karolina Pliskova 7-5 6-4 in the Toronto round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 4–1. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-08-16CincinnatiR16hardKarolina Pliskova6-4 7-6(5)
2021-06-14BerlinR16grassJessica Pegula7-5 6-2
2021-03-22MiamiR32hardJessica Pegula6-1 4-6 6-4
2021-03-07DubaiR16hardJessica Pegula6-0 6-2
2021-03-01DohaQFhardJessica Pegula6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Pliskova K.

Pliskova K.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Pliskova K.
68
Serve
73
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
43%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
41%
Break points saved·Even
59%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.1
6.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
6.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (151 vs 49). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
96
87
Break points saved·Even
96
95
Break points won·Clear edge
99
87
Deciding sets·Even
100
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
74

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.3+247 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.7Hard Elo 1811
8.2Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1869
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.0
Surface form
4.1
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
96

Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Pliskova K.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw