Karolina Pliskova vs Jessica PegulaCincinnati Round of 16

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 16
#64WTA
1869ELO
1811Hard ELO
34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 August 2021
hard
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Pliskova K.
6-4 7-6
Pegula J.
Pliskova K.
6772
Pegula J.
4650

Karolina Pliskova defeated Jessica Pegula 6-4 7-6 in the Cincinnati round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 5–0, defending last year's quarter-final, but Karolina Pliskova had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Karolina Pliskova claimed a first win over Jessica Pegula in six meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

05
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-05TorontoR32hardJessica Pegula7-5 6-4
2021-06-14BerlinR16grassJessica Pegula7-5 6-2
2021-03-22MiamiR32hardJessica Pegula6-1 4-6 6-4
2021-03-07DubaiR16hardJessica Pegula6-0 6-2
2021-03-01DohaQFhardJessica Pegula6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Pliskova K.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Pegula J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Pliskova K.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pliskova K.Pegula J.
Serve
68
Return
73

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
50%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Even
61%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.8
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.6
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (180 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
96
Break points saved·Even
95
96
Break points won·Clear edge
87
99
Deciding sets·Even
96
100
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
74
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.7Hard Elo 1811
Surface ELO
8.3+247 Hard Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 2097
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.5
Surface form
7.1
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
4.1
7.0
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.4
Country comfort
7.8
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
96
79

Pliskova K.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Pegula J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CDrizzle
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 86%

Draw