Jessica Pegula vs Karolina PliskovaBerlin Round of 16

Berlin · WTA · Round of 16
#4WTA
2097ELO
1903Grass ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 June 2021
grass
#73WTA
1869ELO
1758Grass ELO
34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Pegula J.
7-5 6-2
Pliskova K.
Pegula J.
762
Pliskova K.
520

Jessica Pegula defeated Karolina Pliskova 7-5 6-2 in the Berlin round of 16 on grass. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 4–1. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-05TorontoR32hardJessica Pegula7-5 6-4
2021-08-16CincinnatiR16hardKarolina Pliskova6-4 7-6(5)
2021-03-22MiamiR32hardJessica Pegula6-1 4-6 6-4
2021-03-07DubaiR16hardJessica Pegula6-0 6-2
2021-03-01DohaQFhardJessica Pegula6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Pliskova K.

Pliskova K.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
42%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Even
58%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.0
6.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 180). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
96
87
Break points saved·Even
96
95
Break points won·Clear edge
99
87
Deciding sets·Even
100
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
74

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
6.8+146 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Grass Elo 1758
8.2Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1869
5.0
H2H
5.0
Surface form
8.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.6
Minutes 14d
8.1
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
95

Pegula J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Pliskova K.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 50%