Emma Navarro vs Marta KostyukToronto Round of 16

Toronto · WTA · Round of 16
#26WTA
1866ELO
1764Hard ELO
$675kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 August 2024
hard
#11WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
Navarro E.
7-5 7-5
Kostyuk M.
Navarro E.
772
Kostyuk M.
550

Emma Navarro defeated Marta Kostyuk 7-5 7-5 in the Toronto round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Marta Kostyuk came in ranked #11. Emma Navarro extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-04WimbledonR32grassMarta Kostyuk2-6 6-4 1-6
2025-06-22Bad HomburgR32grassEmma Navarro6-2 7-5
2025-06-16BerlinR32grassEmma Navarro6-2 6-3
2024-08-26US OpenR32hardEmma Navarro6-4 4-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Navarro E.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Kostyuk M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Navarro E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Navarro E.Kostyuk M.
43
Serve
53
43
Return
57

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
5.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (145 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
90
92
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
93
Break points won·Even
99
98
Deciding sets·Slight edge
93
98
Tiebreaks·Even
87
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.1Hard Elo 1764
Surface ELO
7.9+204 Hard Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 2057
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
7.7
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.2
4.0
3-set count
4.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
88
73

Navarro E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Kostyuk M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw