Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula BadosaToronto Round of 32

Toronto · WTA · Round of 32
#31WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 5 August 2024
hard
#141WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
Ostapenko J.
3-6 7-6 6-2
Badosa P.
Ostapenko J.
37762
Badosa P.
66321

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Paula Badosa 3-6 7-6 6-2 in the Toronto round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in ranked #31. Jelena Ostapenko extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-05-08RomeQFclayJelena Ostapenko6-2 4-6 6-3
2022-01-10SydneyR32hardPaula Badosa7-6(1) 6-1
2021-03-15St. PetersburgR32hardJelena Ostapenko6-2 6-2
2020-09-28Roland GarrosR32clayPaula Badosa6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Ostapenko J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Badosa P.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Serve advantage — Badosa P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ostapenko J.Badosa P.
10
Serve
21
45
Return
19

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
61%
Aces / match·Even
4.0
4.6
Double faults / match·Even
5.6
5.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (104 vs 104). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
93
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
95
Break points won·Slight edge
100
94
Deciding sets·Even
96
95
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.5+47 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1748
5.7Overall Elo 1855
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1780
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.6
Surface form
7.7
0.0
Win streak
10.08-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
4.7
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
92
58

Ostapenko J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw