

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Paula Badosa 6-2 6-2 in the St. Petersburg round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in ranked #31, defending last year's round of 32. Jelena Ostapenko extended the head-to-head to 3–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-05 | Toronto | R32 | hard | Jelena Ostapenko | 3-6 7-6(3) 6-2 |
| 2023-05-08 | Rome | QF | clay | Jelena Ostapenko | 6-2 4-6 6-3 |
| 2022-01-10 | Sydney | R32 | hard | Paula Badosa | 7-6(1) 6-1 |
| 2020-09-28 | Roland Garros | R32 | clay | Paula Badosa | 6-4 6-3 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Ostapenko J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About