Paula Badosa vs Jelena OstapenkoSydney Round of 32

Sydney · WTA · Round of 32
#141WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 January 2022
hard
#31WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Badosa P.
7-6 6-1
Ostapenko J.
Badosa P.
7762
Ostapenko J.
6110

Paula Badosa defeated Jelena Ostapenko 7-6 6-1 in the Sydney round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Paula Badosa narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Paula Badosa came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-05TorontoR32hardJelena Ostapenko3-6 7-6(3) 6-2
2023-05-08RomeQFclayJelena Ostapenko6-2 4-6 6-3
2021-03-15St. PetersburgR32hardJelena Ostapenko6-2 6-2
2020-09-28Roland GarrosR32clayPaula Badosa6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Badosa P.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Ostapenko J.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Badosa P.Ostapenko J.
21
Serve
10
19
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
44%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
53%
Aces / match·Even
4.3
3.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.9
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (183 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
88
Break points saved·Clear edge
95
79
Break points won·Slight edge
94
100
Deciding sets·Even
95
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
94
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 84 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1748
Surface ELO
5.5+47 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1855
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.8
Surface form
6.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
64
91

Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 74 games (7d) · Ostapenko J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast