Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Pegula — Paris Olympics Round of 32

Paris Olympics · WTA · Round of 32
Elina Svitolina
UKR
Elina Svitolina
#10WTA
2070ELO
1995Clay ELO
$3.4MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 July 2024
clay
Jessica Pegula
USA5
Jessica Pegula
#3WTA
2097ELO
1941Clay ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Svitolina E.
4-6 6-1 6-3
Pegula J.
Svitolina E.
4662
Pegula J.
6131

Elina Svitolina defeated Jessica Pegula 4-6 6-1 6-3 in the Paris Olympics round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 6–2, but Elina Svitolina had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Elina Svitolina narrowed the head-to-head to 6–3.

Key context

Head to head

2–6
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-15DubaiFhardJessica Pegula6-2 6-4
2025-03-05Indian WellsR16hardElina Svitolina5-7 6-1 6-2
2025-02-09DohaR32hardJessica Pegula6-3 7-6(3)
2023-08-28US OpenR32hardJessica Pegula6-4 4-6 6-2
2023-07-31WashingtonQFhardJessica Pegula4-6 6-3 6-4
2021-10-06Indian WellsR16hardJessica Pegula6-1 6-1
2021-02-08Australian OpenR16hardJessica Pegula6-4 3-6 6-3
2021-01-06Abu DhabiR64hardElina Svitolina6-4 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Svitolina E.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Pegula J.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Svitolina E.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Svitolina E.Pegula J.
—
Serve
67
—
Return
22

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Svitolina E.Pegula J.
1st serve in·Even
60%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
59%
59%
Aces / match·Even
3.5
3.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (117 vs 151). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Svitolina E.Pegula J.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
96
Break points saved·Even
93
96
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Even
99
100
Tiebreaks·Even
92
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Svitolina E.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Pegula J.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.8+53 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.2Clay Elo 1941
4.1Overall Elo 2070
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 2097
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
7.0
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Svitolina E.Pegula J.
Freshness·Clear edge
98
79

Svitolina E.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Pegula J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw

Bronze
Swiatek I.[1]
Schmiedlova A.
6-26-1
Final
Zheng Q.
Vekic D.[13]
6-26-3
Semi-finals
Vekic D.[13]
Schmiedlova A.
6-46-0
Zheng Q.
Swiatek I.[1]
6-27-5
Quarter-finals
Swiatek I.[1]
Collins D.[8]
6-12-64-1
Schmiedlova A.
Krejcikova B.[9]
6-46-2
Zheng Q.
Kerber A.
6-746-47-66
Vekic D.[13]
Kostyuk M.[12]
6-42-67-68
R16
Swiatek I.[1]
Wang X.
6-36-4
Collins D.[8]
Osorio C.
6-04-66-3
Kerber A.
Fernandez L.[16]
6-46-3
Zheng Q.
Navarro E.[11]
6-777-646-1
Kostyuk M.[12]
Sakkari M.[7]
4-67-656-4
Vekic D.[13]
Gauff C.[2]
7-676-2
Schmiedlova A.
Paolini J.[4]
7-53-67-5
Krejcikova B.[9]
Svitolina E.
7-652-66-4
R32
Krejcikova B.[9]
Wang X.
6-36-2
Sakkari M.[7]
Yuan Y.
6-26-1
Vekic D.[13]
Andreescu B.
6-36-4
Navarro E.[11]
Tomova V.
6-756-46-1
Swiatek I.[1]
Parry D.
6-16-1
Wang X.
Shnaider D.[15]
6-36-1
Fernandez L.[16]
Bucsa C.
7-646-3
Zheng Q.
Rus A.
6-26-4
Collins D.[8]
Wozniacki C.
6-33-66-3
Kerber A.
Cristian J.
6-43-66-4
Schmiedlova A.
Haddad Maia B.[14]
6-46-4
Osorio C.
Yastremska D.
7-646-4
Paolini J.[4]
Linette M.
6-46-1
Gauff C.[2]
Carle M.
6-16-1
Kostyuk M.[12]
Burel C.
7-636-2
Svitolina E.
Pegula J.[5]
4-66-16-3
R64
Collins D.[8]
Siegemund L.
6-32-0
Wang X.
Noskova L.
6-36-3
Tomova V.
Frech M.
6-47-64
Vekic D.[13]
Bronzetti L.
6-27-5
Sakkari M.[7]
Kovinic D.
6-06-1
Parry D.
Podoroska N.
7-667-5
Osorio C.
Ostapenko J.[10]
6-46-3
Yastremska D.
Pigossi L.
3-67-56-0
Bucsa C.
Martic P.
6-46-3
Burel C.
Siniakova K.
7-636-4
Kostyuk M.[12]
Sun L.
6-46-3
Linette M.
Andreeva M.
6-36-4
Wang X.
Korpatsch T.
6-26-1
Schmiedlova A.
Boulter K.
6-46-2
Rus A.
Gadecki O.
6-46-1
Zheng Q.
Errani S.
6-06-0
Pegula J.[5]
Golubic V.
6-36-4
Krejcikova B.[9]
Sorribes Tormo S.
4-66-07-63
Yuan Y.
Alexandrova E.
7-56-706-2
Svitolina E.
Uchijima M.
6-26-1
Kerber A.
Osaka N.
7-56-3
Gauff C.[2]
Tomljanovic A.
6-36-0
Navarro E.[11]
Grabher J.
6-26-0
Haddad Maia B.[14]
Gracheva V.
6-44-66-0
Wozniacki C.
Sherif M.
2-67-56-1
Andreescu B.
Tauson C.
6-26-3
Paolini J.[4]
Bogdan A.
7-56-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Begu I.
6-27-5
Fernandez L.[16]
Muchova K.
6-14-66-2
Shnaider D.[15]
Cocciaretto E.
6-27-5
Carle M.
Maria T.
6-06-0
Cristian J.
Garcia C.[17]
5-76-36-4