Jessica Pegula vs Elina SvitolinaIndian Wells Round of 16

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 16
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 6 October 2021
hard
#10WTA
2070ELO
1997Hard ELO
$3.4MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Pegula J.
6-1 6-1
Svitolina E.
Pegula J.
662
Svitolina E.
110

Jessica Pegula defeated Elina Svitolina 6-1 6-1 in the Indian Wells round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 5–3. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 6–3.

Key context

Head to head

53
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-15DubaiFhardJessica Pegula6-2 6-4
2025-03-05Indian WellsR16hardElina Svitolina5-7 6-1 6-2
2025-02-09DohaR32hardJessica Pegula6-3 7-6(3)
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsR32clayElina Svitolina4-6 6-1 6-3
2023-08-28US OpenR32hardJessica Pegula6-4 4-6 6-2
2023-07-31WashingtonQFhardJessica Pegula4-6 6-3 6-4
2021-02-08Australian OpenR16hardJessica Pegula6-4 3-6 6-3
2021-01-06Abu DhabiR64hardElina Svitolina6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Svitolina E.

Svitolina E.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Svitolina E.
68
Serve
48
73
Return
57

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
58%
58%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
3.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
96
89
Break points saved·Even
96
93
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Even
96
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+61 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1997
5.9Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 2070
5.4
H2H
4.6
6.9
Surface form
7.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
7.3
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.8
Country comfort
5.9
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
83
99

Pegula J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Svitolina E.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
32°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 26%

Draw