Juan Pablo Varillas vs Dominic Thiem — Gstaad Round of 32

Gstaad · ATP · Round of 32
Juan Pablo Varillas
PER
Juan Pablo Varillas
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 July 2024
clay
AUT
Dominic Thiem
32 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLL
Varillas J.
6-3 5-7 7-6
Thiem D.
Varillas J.
65772
Thiem D.
37641

Juan Pablo Varillas defeated Dominic Thiem 6-3 5-7 7-6 in the Gstaad round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Dominic Thiem came in leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 16, but Juan Pablo Varillas had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 7 on clay. Juan Pablo Varillas narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-09-25AstanaR32hardDominic Thiem6-3 7-6(8)
2023-02-13Buenos AiresR16clayJuan Pablo Varillas6-4 6-4
2022-07-18GstaadQFclayDominic Thiem6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Varillas J.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Thiem D.

Thiem D.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Serve advantage — Varillas J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Varillas J.Thiem D.
1st serve in·Even
59%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
34%
Break points saved·Even
58%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.5
4.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (131 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Varillas J.Thiem D.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
55
85
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
98
Break points won·Clear edge
43
58
Deciding sets·Dominant
63
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Varillas J.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Thiem D.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.4
H2H
4.6
4.4
Surface form
4.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.3
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Varillas J.Thiem D.
Freshness·
55
—

Varillas J.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 47%
Final
Berrettini M.[6]
Halys Q.
6-36-1
Semi-finals
Berrettini M.[6]
Tsitsipas S.[1]
7-667-5
Halys Q.
Struff J.[5]
6-37-62
Quarter-finals
Berrettini M.[6]
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
7-677-62
Halys Q.
Heide G.
6-17-5
Tsitsipas S.[1]
Fognini F.[7]
6-46-3
Struff J.[5]
Etcheverry T.[4]
7-53-66-3
R16
Struff J.[5]
Riedi L.
7-667-61
Tsitsipas S.[1]
Medjedovic H.
7-666-3
Etcheverry T.[4]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-22-66-3
Heide G.
Humbert U.[2]
6-726-26-3
Halys Q.
Klein L.
6-36-776-4
Fognini F.[7]
Varillas J.
3-67-657-5
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Hanfmann Y.
7-666-2
Berrettini M.[6]
Galan D.
6-46-2
R32
Struff J.[5]
Ramos A.
7-667-64
Berrettini M.[6]
Cachin P.
6-47-62
Halys Q.
Gasquet R.
7-647-65
Van De Zandschulp B.
Stricker D.
6-36-3
Klein L.
Wawrinka S.[8]
7-642-67-5
Medjedovic H.
Huesler M.
6-737-626-3
Varillas J.
Thiem D.
6-35-77-64
Fognini F.[7]
Droguet T.
6-46-3
Hanfmann Y.
Moreno De Alboran N.
7-626-726-4
Galan D.
Kopriva V.
6-36-2
Riedi L.
Barrere G.
7-627-5
Heide G.
Napolitano S.
7-645-77-63