Dominic Thiem defeated Juan Pablo Varillas 6-4 6-3 in the Gstaad quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Juan Pablo Varillas came in leading the head-to-head 2–1. Dominic Thiem narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-15 | Gstaad | R32 | clay | Juan Pablo Varillas | 6-3 5-7 7-6 |
| 2023-09-25 | Astana | R32 | hard | Dominic Thiem | 6-3 7-6 |
| 2023-02-13 | Buenos Aires | R16 | clay | Juan Pablo Varillas | 6-4 6-4 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (117 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Varillas J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About