Juan Pablo Varillas vs Dominic ThiemBuenos Aires Round of 16

Buenos Aires · ATP · Round of 16
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 February 2023
clay
32 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWWL
Varillas J.
6-4 6-4
Thiem D.
Varillas J.
662
Thiem D.
440

Juan Pablo Varillas defeated Dominic Thiem 6-4 6-4 in the Buenos Aires round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Dominic Thiem came in leading the head-to-head 2–1, but Juan Pablo Varillas had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 7 on clay. Juan Pablo Varillas narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-15GstaadR32clayJuan Pablo Varillas6-3 5-7 7-6(4)
2023-09-25AstanaR32hardDominic Thiem6-3 7-6(8)
2022-07-18GstaadQFclayDominic Thiem6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Varillas J.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Thiem D.

Thiem D.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Serve advantage — Varillas J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points saved·Even
58%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.7
4.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (187 vs 75). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
55
85
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
98
Break points won·Clear edge
43
58
Deciding sets·Dominant
63
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.6
Surface form
7.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
55

Varillas J.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
24°CRain
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 91%