Iga Swiatek vs Jasmine Paolini — Roland Garros Final

Roland Garros · WTA · Final
Iga Swiatek
POL3
Iga Swiatek
#3WTA
2064ELO
2008Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 May 2024
clay
Jasmine Paolini
ITA13
Jasmine Paolini
#17WTA
1905ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Swiatek I.
6-2 6-1
Paolini J.
Swiatek I.
662
Paolini J.
210

Iga Swiatek defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-2 6-1 in the Roland Garros final on clay. The result followed the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending the title. Iga Swiatek extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

4–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-06WuhanQFhardJasmine Paolini6-1 6-2
2025-08-07CincinnatiFhardIga Swiatek7-5 6-4
2025-06-22Bad HomburgSFgrassIga Swiatek6-1 6-3
2024-11-13BJK Cup FinalsSFhardIga Swiatek3-6 6-4 6-4
2022-08-29US OpenR128hardIga Swiatek6-3 6-0
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Swiatek I.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Swiatek I.Paolini J.
1st serve in·Even
64%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
Return points won·Even
48%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
1.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (163 vs 138). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Swiatek I.Paolini J.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
87
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Swiatek I.
8.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Paolini J.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+152 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Clay Elo 1856
6.6Overall Elo 2064
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1905
5.0
H2H
5.0
10.0
Surface form
5.2
10.014-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
7.6
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Swiatek I.Paolini J.
Freshness·Clear edge
85
63

Swiatek I.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Paolini J.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°CDrizzle
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[3]
Paolini J.[13]
6-26-1
Semi-finals
Swiatek I.[3]
Gauff C.[4]
6-26-4
Paolini J.[13]
Andreeva M.[8]
6-36-1
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Jabeur O.[8]
4-66-26-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Vondrousova M.[5]
6-06-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-756-46-4
Paolini J.[13]
Rybakina E.[2]
6-24-66-4
R16
Gauff C.[4]
Cocciaretto E.
6-16-2
Swiatek I.[3]
Potapova A.[28]
6-06-0
Sabalenka A.[1]
Navarro E.[22]
6-26-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Svitolina E.[7]
6-46-3
Vondrousova M.[5]
Danilovic O.
6-46-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Gracheva V.
7-56-2
Jabeur O.[8]
Tauson C.[21]
6-46-4
Paolini J.[13]
Avanesyan E.
4-66-06-1
R32
Gauff C.[4]
Yastremska D.[30]
6-26-4
Paolini J.[13]
Andreescu B.[25]
6-13-66-0
Vondrousova M.[5]
Paquet C.
6-16-3
Avanesyan E.
Zheng Q.[7]
3-66-37-66
Jabeur O.[8]
Fernandez L.[24]
6-47-65
Rybakina E.[2]
Mertens E.[23]
6-46-2
Navarro E.[22]
Keys M.[19]
7-657-63
Swiatek I.[3]
Bouzkova M.[27]
6-46-2
Potapova A.[28]
Wang X.
7-56-766-4
Danilovic O.
Vekic D.
0-67-57-68
Tauson C.[21]
Kenin S.
6-27-5
Gracheva V.
Begu I.
7-56-3
Svitolina E.[7]
Bogdan A.
7-56-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Stearns P.
6-26-1
Cocciaretto E.
Samsonova L.[20]
7-646-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Badosa P.
7-56-1
R64
Jabeur O.[8]
Osorio C.
6-31-66-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Osaka N.[16]
7-611-67-5
Bouzkova M.[27]
Fett J.
6-26-2
Danilovic O.
Collins D.[11]
6-737-56-4
Paquet C.
Siniakova K.[32]
3-67-627-66
Vekic D.
Kostyuk M.[15]
7-56-4
Vondrousova M.[5]
Volynets K.
0-66-16-4
Gauff C.[4]
Zidansek T.[22]
6-36-4
Yastremska D.[30]
Wang Y.
6-26-0
Samsonova L.[20]
Anisimova A.[6]
6-26-1
Tauson C.[21]
Ostapenko J.[29]
7-644-66-3
Kenin S.
Garcia C.[21]
6-36-3
Zheng Q.[7]
Korpatsch T.
6-26-2
Andreescu B.[25]
Kalinskaya A.[22]
1-67-56-3
Avanesyan E.
Blinkova A.
6-36-0
Bogdan A.
Pavlyuchenkova A.[20]
6-46-4
Paolini J.[13]
Baptiste H.[26]
6-47-66
Gracheva V.
Pera B.
6-16-3
Stearns P.
Kasatkina D.[10]
7-56-2
Begu I.
Noskova L.[12]
6-46-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Azarenka V.[19]
6-33-67-5
Badosa P.
Putintseva Y.
4-66-17-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Uchijima M.
6-26-2
Keys M.[19]
Sherif M.
6-07-67
Navarro E.[22]
Errani S.
6-27-5
Cocciaretto E.
Bucsa C.[31]
6-16-4
Wang X.
Tomova V.
7-55-76-1
Mertens E.[23]
Martic P.
6-46-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Rus A.
6-36-4
Fernandez L.[24]
Wang X.[32]
6-36-4
Svitolina E.[7]
Parry D.
6-47-63
Potapova A.[28]
Golubic V.
6-26-2
R128
Vekic D.
Tsurenko L.
6-5
Zheng Q.[7]
Cornet A.
6-26-1
Svitolina E.[7]
Pliskova K.[20]
3-66-46-2
Rus A.
Kerber A.
6-46-3
Uchijima M.
Burillo Escorihuela I.
6-16-1
Sherif M.
Yuan Y.[10]
6-16-3
Osaka N.[16]
Bronzetti L.
6-14-67-5
Martic P.
Mladenovic K.
6-46-4
Avanesyan E.
Zhu L.
6-26-4
Navarro E.[22]
Sonmez Z.
6-26-0
Paquet C.
Shnaider D.[25]
6-36-1
Golubic V.
Krejcikova B.[24]
7-636-4
Stearns P.
Ciric Bagaric L.
6-36-787-66
Yastremska D.[30]
Tomljanovic A.
3-66-36-3
Garcia C.[21]
Lys E.
4-67-56-2
Blinkova A.
Cirstea S.[18]
6-33-67-65
Mertens E.[23]
Carle M.
6-37-68
Gracheva V.
Sakkari M.[6]
3-66-46-3
Danilovic O.
Trevisan M.
6-16-2
Siniakova K.[32]
Galfi D.
7-57-63
Kostyuk M.[15]
Pigossi L.
7-56-746-4
Volynets K.
Krunic A.
7-646-2
Vondrousova M.[5]
Masarova R.
6-16-3
Zidansek T.[22]
Van Uytvanck A.
6-22-66-1
Cocciaretto E.
Haddad Maia B.[13]
3-66-46-1
Kenin S.
Siegemund L.
4-66-26-2
Wang X.[32]
Bai Z.
7-56-746-3
Osorio C.
Kalinina A.
3-67-624-1
Jabeur O.[8]
Vickery S.
6-36-2
Korpatsch T.
Krueger A.
4-66-47-69
Parry D.
Ferro F.
3-66-36-3
Bogdan A.
Jacquemot E.
6-16-3
Pera B.
Hibino N.
6-26-0
Rybakina E.[2]
Minnen G.
6-26-3
Azarenka V.[19]
Podoroska N.
6-16-0
Keys M.[19]
Zarazua R.
6-36-2
Errani S.
Schmiedlova A.
6-36-2
Badosa P.
Boulter K.[26]
4-67-56-4
Putintseva Y.
Stephens S.
6-16-2
Begu I.
Riera J.
6-26-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.[20]
Udvardy P.
6-36-4
Kasatkina D.[10]
Frech M.
7-56-1
Anisimova A.[6]
Sramkova R.
7-666-4
Paolini J.[13]
Saville D.
6-36-4
Fett J.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-23-67-5
Wang X.
Niemeier J.
0-66-26-4
Collins D.[11]
Dolehide C.
6-36-4
Tomova V.
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-37-65
Wang Y.
Timofeeva M.[24]
6-36-3
Bucsa C.[31]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-46-1
Ostapenko J.[29]
Cristian J.
6-47-5
Tauson C.[21]
Maria T.
6-26-3
Fernandez L.[24]
Ponchet J.
6-26-0
Kalinskaya A.[22]
Burel C.
7-637-5
Andreescu B.[25]
Sorribes Tormo S.
7-56-1
Andreeva M.[8]
Bektas E.
6-26-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Jeanjean L.
6-16-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Andreeva E.
6-16-2
Gauff C.[4]
Avdeeva J.
6-16-1
Baptiste H.[26]
Day K.
4-66-26-2
Noskova L.[12]
Dart H.
7-636-4
Bouzkova M.[27]
Kudermetova V.[29]
6-26-4
Samsonova L.[20]
Linette M.
6-16-1
Potapova A.[28]
Rakhimova K.
6-26-3