Matteo Arnaldi vs Andrey Rublev — Roland Garros Round of 32

Roland Garros · ATP · Round of 32
Matteo Arnaldi
ITA
Matteo Arnaldi
#35ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 May 2024
clay
Andrey Rublev
RUS11
Andrey Rublev
#13ATP
1902ELO
1872Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Arnaldi M.
7-6 6-2 6-4
Rublev A.
Arnaldi M.
78663
Rublev A.
66240

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Andrey Rublev 7-6 6-2 6-4 in the Roland Garros round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 32, but Matteo Arnaldi had been the form player, winning 5 of their last 6 on clay. Matteo Arnaldi narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Matteo Arnaldi closed it out in three sets, 7–6 6–2 6–4.

Head to head

1–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR128hardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-2 6-3
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR64hardMatteo Arnaldi6-4 7-5
2024-08-05Canada MastersSFhardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-2
2023-10-23ViennaR16hardAndrey Rublev7-5 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Arnaldi M.Rublev A.
—
Serve
14
—
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Arnaldi M.Rublev A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.3
7.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.4
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (117 vs 150). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Arnaldi M.Rublev A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
88
Break points saved·Even
97
100
Break points won·Clear edge
51
72
Deciding sets·Slight edge
86
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Arnaldi M.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Rublev A.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Clay Elo 1830
Surface ELO
6.5+42 Clay Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1902
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
7.4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
5.8
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Arnaldi M.Rublev A.
Freshness·Even
95
94

Arnaldi M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°CDrizzle
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 63%
Final
Alcaraz C.[3]
Zverev A.[2]
6-32-65-76-16-2
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[3]
Sinner J.[1]
2-66-33-66-46-3
Zverev A.[2]
Ruud C.[15]
2-66-26-46-2
Quarter-finals
Ruud C.[15]
Djokovic N.[3]
W/O
Alcaraz C.[3]
Tsitsipas S.[9]
6-37-636-4
Sinner J.[1]
Dimitrov G.[10]
6-26-47-63
Zverev A.[2]
De Minaur A.[8]
6-47-656-4
R16
Djokovic N.[3]
Cerundolo F.[25]
6-15-73-67-56-3
Dimitrov G.[10]
Hurkacz H.[8]
7-656-47-63
Tsitsipas S.[9]
Arnaldi M.
3-67-646-26-2
Zverev A.[2]
Rune H.[13]
4-66-15-77-626-2
De Minaur A.[8]
Medvedev D.[6]
4-66-26-16-3
Sinner J.[1]
Moutet C.[30]
2-66-36-26-1
Ruud C.[15]
Fritz T.[7]
7-663-66-46-2
Alcaraz C.[3]
Auger Aliassime F.[4]
6-36-36-1
R32
De Minaur A.[8]
Struff J.
4-66-46-36-3
Alcaraz C.[3]
Korda S.[27]
6-47-656-3
Zverev A.[2]
Griekspoor T.[29]
3-66-46-24-67-63
Hurkacz H.[8]
Shapovalov D.
6-37-604-66-1
Ruud C.[15]
Etcheverry T.[23]
6-41-66-26-2
Cerundolo F.[25]
Paul T.[24]
3-66-36-36-2
Auger Aliassime F.[4]
Shelton B.[5]
6-46-26-1
Tsitsipas S.[9]
Zhang Z.
6-36-36-1
Moutet C.[30]
Ofner S.
3-66-46-46-1
Dimitrov G.[10]
Bergs Z.
6-37-644-66-4
Rune H.[13]
Kovalik J.
7-56-17-62
Medvedev D.[6]
Machac T.
7-647-51-66-4
Arnaldi M.
Rublev A.[11]
7-666-26-4
Djokovic N.[3]
Musetti L.[30]
7-56-762-66-36-0
Sinner J.[1]
Kotov P.
6-46-46-4
Fritz T.[7]
Kokkinakis T.
6-36-26-745-76-3
R64
Shelton B.[5]
Nishikori K.
7-676-4
Rune H.[13]
Cobolli F.[10]
6-46-33-63-67-67
Etcheverry T.[23]
Rinderknech A.[22]
3-66-786-15-0
Korda S.[27]
Kwon S.
6-46-41-66-3
Dimitrov G.[10]
Marozsan F.
6-06-36-4
Medvedev D.[6]
Kecmanovic M.
6-15-0
Djokovic N.[3]
Carballes Baena R.
6-46-16-2
Sinner J.[1]
Gasquet R.
6-46-26-4
De Minaur A.[8]
Munar J.
7-56-16-4
Fritz T.[7]
Lajovic D.[20]
6-33-66-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[9]
Altmaier D.
6-36-26-726-4
Paul T.[24]
Fognini F.
6-16-06-2
Kovalik J.
Khachanov K.[13]
4-64-66-46-36-4
Struff J.
Bublik A.[9]
6-26-26-3
Ofner S.
Baez S.[20]
3-63-66-47-57-65
Auger Aliassime F.[4]
Squire H.
6-44-66-36-2
Cerundolo F.[25]
Misolic F.
6-27-626-0
Shapovalov D.
Tiafoe F.[19]
6-746-46-26-4
Musetti L.[30]
Monfils G.
7-56-16-4
Machac T.
Navone M.[31]
6-26-13-61-66-1
Arnaldi M.
Muller A.
6-46-16-3
Griekspoor T.[29]
Darderi L.[14]
7-626-36-3
Bergs Z.
Marterer M.
3-66-36-16-3
Kokkinakis T.
Zeppieri G.
1-64-66-37-656-2
Moutet C.[30]
Shevchenko A.
6-46-20-66-3
Kotov P.
Wawrinka S.
7-656-41-67-65
Zhang Z.
Sonego L.
7-53-66-16-4
Hurkacz H.[8]
Nakashima B.[31]
6-726-16-37-65
Zverev A.[2]
Goffin D.
7-646-26-2
Alcaraz C.[3]
De Jong J.
6-36-42-66-2
Rublev A.[11]
Martinez P.[24]
6-36-46-3
Ruud C.[15]
Davidovich Fokina A.[21]
7-651-66-34-66-3
R128
Misolic F.
Virtanen O.[16]
4-64-66-36-46-2
Djokovic N.[3]
Herbert P.
6-47-636-4
Dimitrov G.[10]
Kovacevic A.
6-46-36-4
Rublev A.[11]
Daniel T.
6-26-736-37-5
Ruud C.[15]
Meligeni Alves F.
6-36-46-3
Musetti L.[30]
Galan D.
6-36-37-5
Kotov P.
Norrie C.[32]
4-66-33-67-656-2
Altmaier D.
Djere L.
7-56-46-765-77-66
Kwon S.
Ruusuvuori E.
6-36-46-3
Marozsan F.
Kukushkin M.
6-26-26-3
Rune H.[13]
Evans D.
6-46-46-4
Shapovalov D.
Van Assche L.
6-36-46-4
Korda S.[27]
Mayot H.
6-27-646-4
Machac T.
Borges N.
7-636-46-3
Shevchenko A.
Karatsev A.
6-44-61-66-16-4
Kovalik J.
Giron M.
7-636-43-67-65
Marterer M.
Thompson J.
6-36-26-0
Navone M.[31]
Carreno Busta P.
5-76-16-36-0
Muller A.
Nardi L.
6-46-16-3
Sinner J.[1]
Eubanks C.
6-36-36-4
Zeppieri G.
Mannarino A.[22]
4-66-26-16-2
Bergs Z.
Tabilo A.[24]
3-67-656-26-2
Bublik A.[9]
Barrere G.
6-47-56-3
Auger Aliassime F.[4]
Nishioka Y.
6-26-46-4
Tiafoe F.[19]
Bellucci M.
6-33-66-766-46-4
Griekspoor T.[29]
Mcdonald M.[18]
6-36-41-66-2
Carballes Baena R.
Lestienne C.
6-37-54-66-2
Gasquet R.
Coric B.
7-657-626-4
Goffin D.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
4-66-46-36-746-3
Kecmanovic M.
Monteiro T.
6-26-14-67-5
Kokkinakis T.
Popyrin A.
4-67-686-35-76-3
Cobolli F.[10]
Medjedovic H.
6-26-36-726-3
Darderi L.[14]
Hijikata R.
6-37-666-1
Lajovic D.[20]
Safiullin R.
4-67-56-46-766-4
Monfils G.
Seyboth Wild T.
6-23-66-36-4
Munar J.
Bautista Agut R.
6-14-66-46-1
Nishikori K.
Diallo G.
7-57-633-61-67-5
Ofner S.
Atmane T.
3-64-67-626-27-5
Squire H.
Purcell M.
6-26-23-64-67-610
Struff J.
Burruchaga R.
6-36-26-1
Martinez P.[24]
Tirante T.
5-76-43-66-46-3
Nakashima B.[31]
Moreno De Alboran N.
6-16-766-36-2
Wawrinka S.
Murray A.
6-46-46-2
Zhang Z.
Vukic A.
6-44-66-37-5
Cerundolo F.[25]
Hanfmann Y.
6-36-36-4
Baez S.[20]
Heide G.
4-66-36-14-66-3
De Jong J.
Draper J.
7-56-46-733-66-3
Arnaldi M.
Fils A.[29]
6-34-66-46-2
Fognini F.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-16-17-5
Hurkacz H.[8]
Mochizuki S.[19]
4-66-33-66-06-3
Tsitsipas S.[9]
Fucsovics M.
7-676-46-1
Alcaraz C.[3]
Wolf J.
6-16-26-1
Moutet C.[30]
Jarry N.[16]
6-26-13-66-0
De Minaur A.[8]
Michelsen A.
6-16-06-2
Fritz T.[7]
Coria F.
2-66-16-26-1
Shelton B.[5]
Gaston H.
3-66-36-46-4
Khachanov K.[13]
Nagal S.
6-26-07-65
Etcheverry T.[23]
Cazaux A.
3-66-26-16-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[21]
Vacherot V.[16]
4-66-26-27-62
Medvedev D.[6]
Koepfer D.
6-36-45-76-3
Sonego L.
Humbert U.[32]
6-42-66-46-3
Rinderknech A.[22]
Walton A.
6-26-47-5
Paul T.[24]
Cachin P.
6-26-36-1
Zverev A.[2]
Nadal R.
6-37-656-3