Aslan Karatsev vs Mackenzie Mcdonald — Rome Masters Round of 128

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 128
RUS
Aslan Karatsev
#1285ATP
32 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 May 2024
clay
Mackenzie Mcdonald
USA
Mackenzie Mcdonald
#145ATP
1606ELO
1473Clay ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Karatsev A.
4-6 6-3 6-4
Mcdonald M.
Karatsev A.
4662
Mcdonald M.
6341

Aslan Karatsev defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the Rome Masters round of 128 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Mackenzie Mcdonald came in ranked #145, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 128. Aslan Karatsev narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-07Canada MastersR64hardMackenzie Mcdonald6-3 6-4
2022-02-21DubaiR32hardMackenzie Mcdonald7-5 6-3
2022-01-17Australian OpenR64hardAslan Karatsev3-6 6-2 6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Karatsev A.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Karatsev A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Karatsev A.Mcdonald M.
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
57%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
4.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (56 vs 141). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Karatsev A.Mcdonald M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
43
56
Break points saved·Even
94
96
Break points won·Dominant
39
66
Deciding sets·Slight edge
37
45
Tiebreaks·Even
41
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Karatsev A.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Mcdonald M.
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 112 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
1.4
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Karatsev A.Mcdonald M.
Freshness·
—
87

Mcdonald M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 56%
Final
Zverev A.[3]
Jarry N.[21]
6-47-5
Semi-finals
Zverev A.[3]
Tabilo A.[29]
1-67-646-2
Jarry N.[21]
Paul T.[14]
6-36-736-3
Quarter-finals
Paul T.[14]
Hurkacz H.[7]
7-53-66-3
Jarry N.[21]
Tsitsipas S.[6]
3-67-56-4
Tabilo A.[29]
Zhang Z.
6-36-4
Zverev A.[3]
Fritz T.[11]
6-46-3
R16
Tabilo A.[29]
Khachanov K.[16]
7-657-610
Hurkacz H.[7]
Baez S.[17]
5-77-646-4
Jarry N.[21]
Muller A.
7-56-3
Zhang Z.
Monteiro T.
7-646-3
Zverev A.[3]
Borges N.
6-27-5
Fritz T.[11]
Dimitrov G.[8]
6-26-7116-1
Tsitsipas S.[6]
De Minaur A.[9]
6-16-2
Paul T.[14]
Medvedev D.[2]
6-16-4
R32
Tabilo A.[29]
Djokovic N.[1]
6-26-3
Monteiro T.
Kecmanovic M.
6-24-67-66
Khachanov K.[16]
Cerundolo F.[20]
6-26-4
Zhang Z.
Shelton B.[12]
6-26-4
Zverev A.[3]
Darderi L.
7-636-2
Fritz T.[11]
Korda S.[24]
6-36-4
Dimitrov G.[8]
Atmane T.
7-636-3
Tsitsipas S.[6]
Norrie C.[27]
6-27-61
De Minaur A.[9]
Auger Aliassime F.[18]
6-726-46-4
Jarry N.[21]
Napolitano S.
6-24-66-4
Muller A.
Rublev A.[4]
3-66-36-2
Hurkacz H.[7]
Etcheverry T.[25]
7-676-2
Baez S.[17]
Rune H.[10]
2-66-26-3
Paul T.[14]
Koepfer D.
6-46-3
Medvedev D.[2]
Medjedovic H.
7-652-67-5
Borges N.
Passaro F.
4-67-687-64
R64
Djokovic N.[1]
Moutet C.
6-36-1
Tabilo A.[29]
Hanfmann Y.
6-37-64
Khachanov K.[16]
Shevchenko A.
6-46-4
Atmane T.
Musetti L.[26]
7-51-0
Dimitrov G.[8]
Nishioka Y.
7-56-4
Norrie C.[27]
Munar J.
6-31-66-3
De Minaur A.[9]
Carballes Baena R.
6-36-2
Jarry N.[21]
Arnaldi M.
6-27-66
Muller A.
Fils A.[31]
7-56-3
Baez S.[17]
Lajovic D.
7-637-66
Hurkacz H.[7]
Nadal R.
6-16-3
Napolitano S.
Shang J.
6-736-16-0
Tsitsipas S.[6]
Struff J.
6-716-46-4
Shelton B.[12]
Kotov P.
4-66-36-4
Monteiro T.
Thompson J.[32]
6-16-3
Kecmanovic M.
Ruud C.[5]
0-66-46-4
Zverev A.[3]
Vukic A.
6-06-4
Darderi L.
Navone M.[28]
6-36-2
Passaro F.
Griekspoor T.[23]
4-66-37-65
Borges N.
Bublik A.[15]
6-46-4
Fritz T.[11]
Fognini F.
6-36-4
Korda S.[24]
Cobolli F.
7-664-66-4
Auger Aliassime F.[18]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-17-66
Rublev A.[4]
Giron M.
5-76-47-5
Etcheverry T.[25]
Seyboth Wild T.
6-37-5
Rune H.[10]
Nardi L.
6-46-4
Paul T.[14]
Karatsev A.
6-46-2
Koepfer D.
Tiafoe F.[22]
6-46-2
Medjedovic H.
Davidovich Fokina A.[30]
7-646-4
Medvedev D.[2]
Draper J.
7-56-4
Cerundolo F.[20]
Gigante M.
6-16-3
Zhang Z.
Mannarino A.[19]
6-16-3
R128
Kotov P.
Michelsen A.
6-16-1
Zhang Z.
Galan D.
6-27-5
Cobolli F.
Marterer M.
6-46-2
Atmane T.
Eubanks C.
6-46-4
Nishioka Y.
Ofner S.
6-32-67-64
Carballes Baena R.
Oconnell C.
6-775-0
Struff J.
Cachin P.
6-46-4
Borges N.
Martinez P.
6-736-47-68
Medjedovic H.
Popyrin A.
6-36-2
Nardi L.
Altmaier D.
6-46-4
Moutet C.
Safiullin R.
3-67-616-2
Hanfmann Y.
Mensik J.
6-36-2
Gigante M.
Zeppieri G.
7-626-4
Shevchenko A.
Marozsan F.
6-36-2
Monteiro T.
Monfils G.
6-27-5
Kecmanovic M.
Nakashima B.
6-46-4
Darderi L.
Shapovalov D.
6-746-37-64
Passaro F.
Rinderknech A.
6-737-57-67
Fognini F.
Evans D.
6-43-66-2
Van De Zandschulp B.
Moreno De Alboran N.
7-56-757-64
Napolitano S.
Wolf J.
6-27-63
Arnaldi M.
Mayot H.
3-67-56-4
Muller A.
Fucsovics M.
4-67-656-2
Giron M.
Ruusuvuori E.
3-66-36-3
Nadal R.
Bergs Z.
4-66-36-4
Lajovic D.
Sonego L.
6-36-756-3
Karatsev A.
Mcdonald M.
4-66-36-4
Koepfer D.
Vavassori A.
6-46-3
Draper J.
Coric B.
7-56-1
Munar J.
Hijikata R.
6-47-5
Seyboth Wild T.
Barrere G.
6-46-2
Vukic A.
Schwartzman D.
6-26-2