Aslan Karatsev vs Mackenzie Mcdonald — Australian Open Round of 64

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 64
RUS18
Aslan Karatsev
#1285ATP
32 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLLL
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 January 2022
hard
Mackenzie Mcdonald
USA
Mackenzie Mcdonald
#140ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Karatsev A.
3-6 6-2 6-2 6-3
Mcdonald M.
Karatsev A.
36663
Mcdonald M.
62231

Aslan Karatsev defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 3-6 6-2 6-2 6-3 in the Australian Open round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mackenzie Mcdonald came in ranked #140, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 16, but Aslan Karatsev had arrived on a 4-match winning run. Aslan Karatsev narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-06Rome MastersR128clayAslan Karatsev4-6 6-3 6-4
2023-08-07Canada MastersR64hardMackenzie Mcdonald6-3 6-4
2022-02-21DubaiR32hardMackenzie Mcdonald7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Karatsev A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Karatsev A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Karatsev A.Mcdonald M.
—
Serve
25
—
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Karatsev A.Mcdonald M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
61%
Aces / match·Even
5.0
4.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (158 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Karatsev A.Mcdonald M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
43
56
Break points saved·Even
94
96
Break points won·Dominant
39
66
Deciding sets·Slight edge
37
45
Tiebreaks·Even
41
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Karatsev A.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Mcdonald M.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.4
Surface form
2.9
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.6
Minutes 14d
7.4
4.0
3-set count
7.0
4.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0
Opponent rise
2.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Karatsev A.Mcdonald M.
Freshness·
—
92

Mcdonald M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 68%
Final
Nadal R.[6]
Medvedev D.[2]
2-66-756-46-47-5
Semi-finals
Medvedev D.[2]
Tsitsipas S.[4]
7-654-66-46-1
Nadal R.[6]
Berrettini M.[7]
6-36-23-66-3
Quarter-finals
Berrettini M.[7]
Monfils G.[17]
6-46-43-63-66-2
Nadal R.[6]
Shapovalov D.[14]
6-36-44-63-66-3
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Sinner J.[11]
6-36-46-2
Medvedev D.[2]
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
6-743-67-627-56-4
R16
Nadal R.[6]
Mannarino A.
7-6146-26-2
Monfils G.[17]
Kecmanovic M.
7-57-646-3
Berrettini M.[7]
Carreno Busta P.[19]
7-57-646-4
Shapovalov D.[14]
Zverev A.[3]
6-37-656-3
Sinner J.[11]
De Minaur A.[32]
7-636-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Fritz T.[20]
4-66-44-66-36-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Cilic M.[27]
2-67-676-27-64
Medvedev D.[2]
Cressy M.
6-27-646-747-5
R32
Carreno Busta P.[19]
Korda S.
6-47-56-766-3
Kecmanovic M.
Sonego L.[25]
6-46-786-27-5
Monfils G.[17]
Garin C.[16]
7-646-16-3
Berrettini M.[7]
Alcaraz C.[31]
6-27-634-62-67-65
Zverev A.[3]
Albot R.
6-36-46-4
Shapovalov D.[14]
Opelka R.[23]
7-644-66-36-4
Mannarino A.
Karatsev A.[18]
7-646-747-56-4
Nadal R.[6]
Khachanov K.[28]
6-36-23-66-1
De Minaur A.[32]
Andujar P.
6-46-46-2
Sinner J.[11]
Daniel T.
6-41-66-36-1
Fritz T.[20]
Bautista Agut R.[15]
6-03-63-66-46-3
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Paire B.
6-37-56-726-4
Cilic M.[27]
Rublev A.[5]
7-57-633-66-3
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Evans D.[24]
6-46-16-1
Cressy M.
Oconnell C.
6-26-766-36-2
Medvedev D.[2]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-46-46-2
R64
Evans D.[24]
Rinderknech A.
W/O
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-646-747-657-64
Van De Zandschulp B.
Gasquet R.
4-66-04-0
Bautista Agut R.[15]
Kohlschreiber P.
6-16-06-3
Nadal R.[6]
Hanfmann Y.
6-26-36-4
Daniel T.
Murray A.
6-46-46-4
Paire B.
Dimitrov G.[26]
6-46-46-747-62
Khachanov K.[28]
Bonzi B.
6-46-07-5
Sonego L.[25]
Otte O.
2-66-26-36-1
Andujar P.
Molcan A.
6-47-660-66-1
Zverev A.[3]
Millman J.
6-46-46-0
Kecmanovic M.
Paul T.
7-677-57-68
Monfils G.[17]
Bublik A.
6-16-06-4
Garin C.[16]
Martinez P.
6-717-642-66-26-2
Korda S.
Moutet C.
3-66-46-727-57-66
Carreno Busta P.[19]
Griekspoor T.
6-36-767-633-66-4
Alcaraz C.[31]
Lajovic D.
6-26-17-5
Berrettini M.[7]
Kozlov S.
6-14-66-46-1
Albot R.
Vukic A.
6-47-646-4
Opelka R.[23]
Koepfer D.
6-46-37-64
Shapovalov D.[14]
Kwon S.
7-666-736-767-56-2
Mannarino A.
Hurkacz H.[10]
6-46-26-3
Karatsev A.[18]
Mcdonald M.
3-66-26-26-3
De Minaur A.[32]
Majchrzak K.
6-46-46-2
Sinner J.[11]
Johnson S.
6-26-46-3
Fritz T.[20]
Tiafoe F.
6-46-37-65
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Baez S.
7-616-756-36-4
Rublev A.[5]
Berankis R.
6-46-26-0
Cilic M.[27]
Gombos N.
6-26-33-67-66
Oconnell C.
Schwartzman D.[13]
7-666-46-4
Cressy M.
Machac T.
6-13-66-17-65
Medvedev D.[2]
Kyrgios N.
7-616-44-66-2
R128
Millman J.
Lopez F.
6-16-34-67-5
Johnson S.
Thompson J.
7-656-764-66-36-3
Kecmanovic M.
Caruso S.
6-46-26-1
Vukic A.
Harris L.[30]
4-66-37-57-63
Gombos N.
Skatov T.
6-36-21-66-4
Gasquet R.
Humbert U.[29]
3-67-647-636-3
Opelka R.[23]
Anderson K.
6-36-47-63
Martinez P.
Delbonis F.
7-6153-66-46-2
Majchrzak K.
Seppi A.
6-16-17-5
Paul T.
Kukushkin M.
6-36-46-2
Otte O.
Tseng C.
6-46-36-2
Sonego L.[25]
Querrey S.
7-56-36-3
Monfils G.[17]
Coria F.
6-16-16-3
Bublik A.
Escobedo E.
3-67-656-36-3
Garin C.[16]
Bagnis F.
6-36-45-76-746-3
Korda S.
Norrie C.[12]
6-36-06-4
Moutet C.
Pouille L.
3-66-36-46-3
Griekspoor T.
Fognini F.
6-16-46-4
Carreno Busta P.[19]
Etcheverry T.
6-16-27-62
Alcaraz C.[31]
Tabilo A.
6-26-26-3
Lajovic D.
Fucsovics M.
6-34-66-16-766-1
Kozlov S.
Vesely J.
7-56-36-4
Berrettini M.[7]
Nakashima B.
4-66-27-656-3
Zverev A.[3]
Altmaier D.
7-636-17-61
Albot R.
Nishioka Y.
6-36-44-66-2
Koepfer D.
Taberner C.
6-13-66-46-1
Kwon S.
Rune H.
3-66-43-66-36-2
Shapovalov D.[14]
Djere L.
7-636-43-67-63
Hurkacz H.[10]
Gerasimov E.
6-27-636-756-3
Mannarino A.
Duckworth J.
6-42-63-66-26-1
Mcdonald M.
Milojevic N.
5-76-46-36-2
Karatsev A.[18]
Munar J.
3-67-616-736-46-4
Khachanov K.[28]
Kudla D.
3-66-36-27-62
Bonzi B.
Gojowczyk P.
6-36-36-3
Hanfmann Y.
Kokkinakis T.
6-26-36-2
Nadal R.[6]
Giron M.
6-16-46-2
Molcan A.
Safiullin R.
6-37-695-77-66
Andujar P.
Dzumhur D.
6-17-56-1
De Minaur A.[32]
Musetti L.
3-66-36-06-3
Murray A.
Basilashvili N.[21]
6-13-66-46-756-4
Daniel T.
Barrios Vera T.
7-656-16-1
Sinner J.[11]
Sousa J.
6-47-56-1
Bautista Agut R.[15]
Travaglia S.
7-626-45-76-1
Kohlschreiber P.
Cecchinato M.
6-47-57-60
Tiafoe F.
Trungelliti M.
3-66-46-23-66-3
Fritz T.[20]
Marterer M.
7-686-36-2
Dimitrov G.[26]
Lehecka J.
6-44-66-37-5
Paire B.
Monteiro T.
6-43-67-52-67-5
Baez S.
Ramos A.
6-44-66-31-66-2
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Ymer M.
6-26-46-3
Rublev A.[5]
Mager G.
6-36-26-2
Berankis R.
Carballes Baena R.
6-13-62-66-36-4
Cilic M.[27]
Gomez E.
6-36-16-2
Evans D.[24]
Goffin D.
6-46-36-0
Rinderknech A.
Popyrin A.
7-54-66-23-66-3
Davidovich Fokina A.
Bolt A.
6-36-36-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Ruusuvuori E.
6-40-63-66-36-4
Schwartzman D.[13]
Krajinovic F.
6-36-47-5
Machac T.
Cerundolo J.
6-32-66-46-2
Van De Zandschulp B.
Struff J.
6-46-36-2
Kyrgios N.
Broady L.
6-46-46-3
Medvedev D.[2]
Laaksonen H.
6-16-47-63
Oconnell C.
Gaston H.
7-646-04-66-1
Cressy M.
Isner J.[22]
7-627-56-746-746-4