Alex De Minaur vs Felix Auger AliassimeRome Masters Round of 32

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#5ATP
1961ELO
1869Clay ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 May 2024
clay
#4ATP
1958ELO
1864Clay ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
De Minaur A.
6-7 6-4 6-4
Auger Aliassime F.
De Minaur A.
62662
Auger Aliassime F.
77441

Alex De Minaur defeated Felix Auger Aliassime 6-7 6-4 6-4 in the Rome Masters round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 64. Alex De Minaur narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09RotterdamFhardAlex De Minaur6-3 6-2
2025-08-25US OpenQFhardFelix Auger Aliassime4-6 7-6(7) 7-5 7-6(4)
2022-11-27Davis Cup Finals F: CAN vs AUSRRhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-3 6-4
2022-08-15Cincinnati MastersR32hardFelix Auger Aliassime6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Auger Aliassime F.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

De Minaur A.Auger Aliassime F.
Serve
39
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
9.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (166 vs 156). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
95
84
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
97
50
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0+5 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Clay Elo 1864
5.0Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1958
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
8.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
4.3
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
64

De Minaur A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Auger Aliassime F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 56%