Emma Navarro vs Jasmine Paolini — Miami Round of 32

Miami · WTA · Round of 32
Emma Navarro
USA20
Emma Navarro
#26WTA
1866ELO
1764Hard ELO
$675kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 18 March 2024
hard
Jasmine Paolini
ITA12
Jasmine Paolini
#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Navarro E.
6-2 3-6 6-0
Paolini J.
Navarro E.
6362
Paolini J.
2601

Emma Navarro defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-2 3-6 6-0 in the Miami round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #15, defending last year's round of 128. Emma Navarro extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

2–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-01WimbledonQFgrassJasmine Paolini6-2 6-1
2024-02-12DohaR64hardEmma Navarro6-3 7-5
2023-09-11San DiegoR32hardEmma Navarro7-5 6-0
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Navarro E.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Navarro E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Navarro E.Paolini J.
43
Serve
31
43
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Navarro E.Paolini J.
1st serve in·Even
64%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (145 vs 138). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Navarro E.Paolini J.
Clutch Rating·Even
90
89
Break points saved·Even
88
87
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Even
93
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Navarro E.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Paolini J.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Hard Elo 1764
Surface ELO
7.1+109 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1905
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.3
Surface form
8.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.4
Minutes 14d
7.0
0.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.5
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Navarro E.Paolini J.
Freshness·Slight edge
88
79

Navarro E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Paolini J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw

Final
Collins D.
Rybakina E.[4]
7-56-3
Semi-finals
Collins D.
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-36-2
Rybakina E.[4]
Azarenka V.[27]
6-40-67-62
Quarter-finals
Alexandrova E.[14]
Pegula J.[5]
3-66-46-4
Azarenka V.[27]
Putintseva Y.
7-641-66-3
Rybakina E.[4]
Sakkari M.[8]
7-56-746-4
Collins D.
Garcia C.[23]
6-36-2
R16
Sakkari M.[8]
Kalinskaya A.[22]
W/O
Garcia C.[23]
Gauff C.[3]
6-31-66-2
Rybakina E.[4]
Keys M.[17]
6-37-5
Pegula J.[5]
Navarro E.[20]
7-616-3
Putintseva Y.
Kalinina A.[32]
6-47-65
Azarenka V.[27]
Boulter K.[24]
7-56-1
Collins D.
Cirstea S.[19]
6-36-2
Alexandrova E.[14]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-46-2
R32
Cirstea S.[19]
Kasatkina D.[10]
7-56-2
Garcia C.[23]
Osaka N.
7-647-5
Sakkari M.[8]
Yastremska D.[28]
7-56-4
Alexandrova E.[14]
Pavlyuchenkova A.[21]
6-43-66-3
Navarro E.[20]
Paolini J.[12]
6-23-66-0
Pegula J.[5]
Fernandez L.[31]
7-56-4
Kalinskaya A.[22]
Ostapenko J.[9]
6-36-1
Keys M.[17]
Wang X.
6-47-65
Rybakina E.[4]
Townsend T.
6-36-736-4
Azarenka V.[27]
Zheng Q.[7]
6-47-5
Putintseva Y.
Minnen G.
6-22-66-4
Kalinina A.[32]
Sabalenka A.[2]
6-41-66-1
Collins D.
Avanesyan E.
6-16-2
Boulter K.[24]
Haddad Maia B.[11]
6-26-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Noskova L.[26]
6-776-46-4
Gauff C.[3]
Dodin O.
6-46-0
R64
Pegula J.[5]
Zhu L.
6-44-1
Garcia C.[23]
Tomova V.
6-15-2
Kasatkina D.[10]
Liu C.
6-01-0
Osaka N.
Svitolina E.[15]
6-27-65
Zheng Q.[7]
Siniakova K.
4-66-31-0
Boulter K.[24]
Fruhvirtova B.
7-651-0
Swiatek I.[1]
Giorgi C.
6-16-1
Townsend T.
Mertens E.[25]
6-26-2
Alexandrova E.[14]
Vekic D.
6-36-4
Noskova L.[26]
Timofeeva M.
6-46-4
Paolini J.[12]
Volynets K.
7-687-5
Fernandez L.[31]
Arango E.
6-46-2
Gauff C.[3]
Podoroska N.
6-16-2
Dodin O.
Rus A.
6-43-66-3
Collins D.
Potapova A.[30]
6-26-2
Yastremska D.[28]
Saville D.
7-57-5
Keys M.[17]
Shnaider D.
6-26-4
Rybakina E.[4]
Tauson C.
3-67-56-4
Azarenka V.[27]
Stearns P.
7-53-66-4
Minnen G.
Tsurenko L.
7-56-1
Kalinina A.[32]
Wozniacki C.
5-77-56-4
Sabalenka A.[2]
Badosa P.
6-46-3
Navarro E.[20]
Hunter S.
6-46-3
Kalinskaya A.[22]
Wang X.
6-26-2
Ostapenko J.[9]
Siegemund L.
7-636-4
Avanesyan E.
Jabeur O.[6]
6-14-66-3
Wang X.
Kudermetova V.[16]
6-36-2
Sakkari M.[8]
Yuan Y.
6-26-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.[21]
Rogers S.
6-26-1
Cirstea S.[19]
Stephens S.
6-26-1
Haddad Maia B.[11]
Parry D.
3-66-16-4
Putintseva Y.
Samsonova L.[13]
6-14-66-3
R128
Tauson C.
Dolehide C.
6-33-66-2
Hunter S.
Trevisan M.
6-33-0
Volynets K.
Kenin S.
6-24-66-3
Arango E.
Maria T.
6-26-3
Stephens S.
Kerber A.
6-26-3
Collins D.
Pera B.
3-66-16-1
Tsurenko L.
Linette M.
2-66-16-4
Wozniacki C.
Burel C.
6-16-4
Siegemund L.
Krunic A.
4-66-26-2
Rogers S.
Fruhvirtova L.
4-66-46-2
Siniakova K.
Bogdan A.
6-26-4
Shnaider D.
Williams V.
6-36-3
Giorgi C.
Frech M.
6-46-2
Timofeeva M.
Gracheva V.
6-36-3
Zhu L.
Bouzkova M.
6-26-4
Rus A.
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-06-3
Osaka N.
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-4
Liu C.
Martic P.
6-46-1
Avanesyan E.
Andreeva E.
6-03-66-1
Saville D.
Zhang S.
6-42-66-4
Wang X.
Baptiste H.
7-616-3
Townsend T.
Bronzetti L.
3-66-36-4
Fruhvirtova B.
Carle M.
6-36-3
Parry D.
Cristian J.
7-626-2
Podoroska N.
Krueger A.
6-46-2
Badosa P.
Halep S.
1-66-46-3
Yuan Y.
Blinkova A.
6-46-2
Vekic D.
Pliskova K.
6-42-66-2
Tomova V.
Korpatsch T.
6-26-4
Wang X.
Schmiedlova A.
6-16-3
Stearns P.
Wang Y.
6-26-3
Putintseva Y.
Bucsa C.
6-23-66-4