Emma Navarro vs Jasmine PaoliniDoha Round of 64

Doha · WTA · Round of 64
#26WTA
1866ELO
1764Hard ELO
$675kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 February 2024
hard
#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Navarro E.
6-3 7-5
Paolini J.
Navarro E.
672
Paolini J.
350

Emma Navarro defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-3 7-5 in the Doha round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #15. Emma Navarro extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Emma Navarro closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–5.

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-01WimbledonQFgrassJasmine Paolini6-2 6-1
2024-03-18MiamiR32hardEmma Navarro6-2 3-6 6-0
2023-09-11San DiegoR32hardEmma Navarro7-5 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Navarro E.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Navarro E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Navarro E.Paolini J.
43
Serve
31
42
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (145 vs 138). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
90
89
Break points saved·Even
88
87
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Even
93
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Hard Elo 1764
Surface ELO
7.1+109 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1905
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.0
Surface form
5.7
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.2
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
82

Navarro E.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Paolini J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw