Jasmine Paolini vs Tatjana Maria — Indian Wells Round of 64

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 64
Jasmine Paolini
ITA13
Jasmine Paolini
#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 6 March 2024
hard
Tatjana Maria
GER
Tatjana Maria
#76WTA
1703ELO
1608Hard ELO
38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
Paolini J.
6-3 6-3
Maria T.
Paolini J.
662
Maria T.
330

Jasmine Paolini defeated Tatjana Maria 6-3 6-3 in the Indian Wells round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #15, defending last year's round of 128. Jasmine Paolini narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-23EastbourneR32grassTatjana Maria4-6 3-6
2024-01-15Australian OpenR64hardJasmine Paolini6-2 6-3
2023-03-06Indian WellsR128hardTatjana Maria7-5 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Maria T.

Maria T.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Serve advantage — Paolini J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paolini J.Maria T.
31
Serve
9
55
Return
13

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Paolini J.Maria T.
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
45%
Service points won·Even
58%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Even
54%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
3.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (138 vs 133). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paolini J.Maria T.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
13
Break points saved·Dominant
87
31
Break points won·Clear edge
99
78
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
9
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
58

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paolini J.
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Maria T.
3.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
9.0+264 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.0Hard Elo 1608
9.0Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
1.0Overall Elo 1703
5.4
H2H
4.6
7.9
Surface form
4.9
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.9
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
4.4
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paolini J.Maria T.
Freshness·Clear edge
79
64

Paolini J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Maria T.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 17%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[1]
Sakkari M.[9]
6-46-0
Semi-finals
Sakkari M.[9]
Gauff C.[3]
6-46-756-2
Swiatek I.[1]
Kostyuk M.[31]
6-26-1
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[3]
Yuan Y.
6-46-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Wozniacki C.
6-41-0
Kostyuk M.[31]
Potapova A.[28]
6-07-5
Sakkari M.[9]
Navarro E.[23]
5-76-26-4
R16
Potapova A.[28]
Paolini J.[13]
7-50-66-3
Yuan Y.
Kasatkina D.[11]
4-66-46-3
Gauff C.[3]
Mertens E.[24]
6-06-2
Sakkari M.[9]
Parry D.
6-23-66-3
Navarro E.[23]
Sabalenka A.[2]
6-33-66-2
Wozniacki C.
Kerber A.
6-46-2
Kostyuk M.[31]
Pavlyuchenkova A.[22]
6-46-1
Swiatek I.[1]
Putintseva Y.
6-16-2
R32
Mertens E.[24]
Osaka N.
7-56-4
Kostyuk M.[31]
Vondrousova M.[7]
W/O
Sabalenka A.[2]
Raducanu E.
6-37-5
Kasatkina D.[11]
Stephens S.
2-66-46-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Noskova L.[26]
6-46-0
Wozniacki C.
Volynets K.
6-24-66-0
Potapova A.[28]
Podoroska N.
6-16-1
Paolini J.[13]
Kalinskaya A.[21]
6-33-66-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.[22]
Haddad Maia B.[12]
2-66-46-3
Yuan Y.
Dolehide C.
1-66-47-62
Gauff C.[3]
Bronzetti L.
6-27-65
Parry D.
Blinkova A.
6-46-3
Navarro E.[23]
Svitolina E.[16]
6-14-66-3
Kerber A.
Kudermetova V.[17]
6-47-5
Sakkari M.[9]
Garcia C.[20]
6-36-4
Putintseva Y.
Keys M.[18]
6-46-1
R64
Swiatek I.[1]
Collins D.
6-36-0
Svitolina E.[16]
Siniakova K.
6-32-66-1
Paolini J.[13]
Maria T.
6-36-3
Haddad Maia B.[12]
Sramkova R.
7-56-2
Raducanu E.
Yastremska D.[30]
4-0
Kostyuk M.[31]
Hontama M.
6-46-2
Parry D.
Fernandez L.[29]
7-55-76-2
Wozniacki C.
Vekic D.[25]
7-656-3
Potapova A.[28]
Bouzkova M.
7-56-1
Bronzetti L.
Kalinina A.[32]
6-36-4
Kerber A.
Ostapenko J.[10]
5-76-36-3
Volynets K.
Jabeur O.[6]
6-46-4
Keys M.[18]
Baptiste H.
6-44-67-64
Podoroska N.
Day K.
7-636-4
Kalinskaya A.[21]
Townsend T.
7-53-66-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.[22]
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-36-1
Vondrousova M.[7]
Pera B.
6-06-2
Dolehide C.
Azarenka V.[27]
7-52-66-3
Stephens S.
Cirstea S.[19]
6-07-5
Kasatkina D.[11]
Dodin O.
6-37-65
Mertens E.[24]
Wang X.
6-16-4
Gauff C.[3]
Burel C.
2-66-37-64
Garcia C.[20]
Tomova V.
6-13-66-3
Sabalenka A.[2]
Stearns P.
6-726-27-66
Navarro E.[23]
Tsurenko L.
4-67-57-5
Noskova L.[26]
Giorgi C.
6-37-5
Yuan Y.
Zheng Q.[8]
6-46-3
Putintseva Y.
Alexandrova E.[15]
7-56-1
Kudermetova V.[17]
Hibino N.
6-17-5
Osaka N.
Samsonova L.[14]
7-56-3
Blinkova A.
Pegula J.[5]
6-23-66-3
Sakkari M.[9]
Shnaider D.
5-76-46-0
R128
Volynets K.
Andreeva M.
7-57-5
Sramkova R.
Wang Y.
6-46-0
Burel C.
Wang X.
4-66-26-4
Parry D.
Trevisan M.
7-56-3
Collins D.
Andreeva E.
7-637-66
Giorgi C.
Boulter K.
6-36-2
Putintseva Y.
Korpatsch T.
6-26-3
Kerber A.
Martic P.
6-36-4
Hibino N.
Williams V.
2-66-36-0
Wozniacki C.
Zhu L.
7-666-1
Podoroska N.
Krueger A.
3-66-36-3
Bouzkova M.
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-16-1
Maria T.
Rus A.
7-656-2
Parrizas Diaz N.
Kessler M.
6-37-63
Hontama M.
Zhang S.
5-76-26-0
Dolehide C.
Bucsa C.
6-26-0
Stephens S.
Sherif M.
7-56-3
Dodin O.
Avanesyan E.
1-66-37-64
Bronzetti L.
Frech M.
6-26-4
Shnaider D.
Bogdan A.
5-77-666-3
Siniakova K.
Minnen G.
7-57-63
Raducanu E.
Masarova R.
6-26-3
Stearns P.
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-2
Wang X.
Schmiedlova A.
6-06-4
Pera B.
Saville D.
7-54-67-65
Osaka N.
Errani S.
6-36-1
Tomova V.
Kenin S.
6-47-65
Blinkova A.
Pliskova K.
6-12-66-4
Baptiste H.
Montgomery R.
6-24-66-1
Townsend T.
Linette M.
3-67-636-1
Yuan Y.
Gracheva V.
6-46-1
Tsurenko L.
Hovde L.
6-36-1