Daniil Medvedev vs Holger RuneIndian Wells Masters Quarter-final

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 4 March 2024
hard
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
Medvedev D.
7-5 6-4
Rune H.
Medvedev D.
762
Rune H.
540

Daniil Medvedev defeated Holger Rune 7-5 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, defending last year's final. Daniil Medvedev narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersSFhardHolger Rune7-5 6-4
2023-05-08Rome MastersFclayDaniil Medvedev7-5 7-5
2023-04-10Monte Carlo MastersQFclayHolger Rune6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Rune H.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Medvedev D.Rune H.
47
Serve
47
94
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.4
6.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (157 vs 120). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
96
91
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
99
84
Deciding sets·Even
99
98
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+238 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1725
7.7Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1757
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.1
Surface form
7.2
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
5.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.3
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
82

Medvedev D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 29%