Holger Rune vs Daniil MedvedevMonte Carlo Masters Quarter-final

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#77ATP
1757ELO
1729Clay ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 April 2023
clay
#9ATP
1977ELO
1889Clay ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Rune H.
6-3 6-4
Medvedev D.
Rune H.
662
Medvedev D.
340

Holger Rune defeated Daniil Medvedev 6-3 6-4 in the Monte Carlo Masters quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Holger Rune narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Holger Rune closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersSFhardHolger Rune7-5 6-4
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersQFhardDaniil Medvedev7-5 6-4
2023-05-08Rome MastersFclayDaniil Medvedev7-5 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Medvedev D.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve advantage — Medvedev D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.9
7.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (186 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
96
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Clear edge
84
99
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Clay Elo 1729
Surface ELO
6.9+160 Clay Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1977
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
7.0
Win streak
10.08-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
85

Medvedev D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 62%