Sebastian Korda vs Botic Van De ZandschulpDubai Round of 16

Dubai · ATP · Round of 16
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 February 2024
hard
#54ATP
1743ELO
1711Hard ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLW
Korda S.
6-1 6-0
Van De Zandschulp B.
Korda S.
662
Van De Zandschulp B.
100

Sebastian Korda defeated Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-1 6-0 in the Dubai round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Botic Van De Zandschulp came in ranked #54, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Sebastian Korda narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-05-09Rome MastersR64clayBotic Van De Zandschulp6-4 6-1
2022-04-11Monte Carlo MastersR64claySebastian Korda7-5 6-4
2021-10-25St. PetersburgR16carpetBotic Van De Zandschulp6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Korda S.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Van De Zandschulp B.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Korda S.Van De Zandschulp B.
61
Serve
41
58
Return
43

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
47%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
61%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.5
5.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (113 vs 144). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
77
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Slight edge
73
68
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
78
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
94
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+55 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1711
7.0Overall Elo 1809
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1743
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
3.5
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
8.1
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
87

Van De Zandschulp B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 27 km/hHumidity 67%