Elena Rybakina vs Danielle CollinsAbu Dhabi Round of 16

Abu Dhabi · WTA · Round of 16
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 5 February 2024
hard
#343WTA
1844ELO
1772Hard ELO
32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWLL
Rybakina E.
4-6 6-3 6-3
Collins D.
Rybakina E.
4662
Collins D.
6331

Elena Rybakina defeated Danielle Collins 4-6 6-3 6-3 in the Abu Dhabi round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, defending last year's quarter-final. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-18MiamiFhardDanielle Collins7-5 6-3
2023-01-16Australian OpenR32hardElena Rybakina6-2 5-7 6-2
2023-01-02Adelaide 1R32hardElena Rybakina5-7 6-2 6-3
2021-08-02San JoseQFhardDanielle Collins7-6(5) 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Collins D.

Collins D.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Collins D.
100
Serve
34
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Even
64%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
65%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.8
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (154 vs 86). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
92
88
Break points saved·Even
98
95
Break points won·Even
96
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
88
Tiebreaks·Even
93
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.6+338 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.4Hard Elo 1772
9.2Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
0.8Overall Elo 1844
7.2
H2H
2.8
6.8
Surface form
4.7
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Prev. match
4.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Rybakina E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 27 km/hHumidity 44%