Elena Rybakina vs Danielle Collins — Australian Open Round of 32

Australian Open · WTA · Round of 32
Elena Rybakina
KAZ22
Elena Rybakina
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 January 2023
hard
Danielle Collins
USA13
Danielle Collins
#343WTA
1844ELO
1772Hard ELO
32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWLL
Rybakina E.
6-2 5-7 6-2
Collins D.
Rybakina E.
6562
Collins D.
2721

Elena Rybakina defeated Danielle Collins 6-2 5-7 6-2 in the Australian Open round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, defending last year's round of 64. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Elena Rybakina closed it out in three sets, 6–2 5–7 6–2.

Head to head

2–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-18MiamiFhardDanielle Collins7-5 6-3
2024-02-05Abu DhabiR16hardElena Rybakina4-6 6-3 6-3
2023-01-02Adelaide 1R32hardElena Rybakina5-7 6-2 6-3
2021-08-02San JoseQFhardDanielle Collins7-6(5) 7-6(4)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Collins D.

Collins D.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Collins D.
100
Serve
—
34
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rybakina E.Collins D.
1st serve in·Even
59%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
64%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.0
3.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 126). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rybakina E.Collins D.
Clutch Rating·Even
92
88
Break points saved·Even
98
95
Break points won·Even
96
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
88
Tiebreaks·Even
93
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rybakina E.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Collins D.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.6+338 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.4Hard Elo 1772
9.2Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
0.8Overall Elo 1844
5.4
H2H
4.6
5.2
Surface form
5.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.3
Minutes 14d
5.1
4.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
6.3
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rybakina E.Collins D.
Freshness·
91
—

Rybakina E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[5]
Rybakina E.[22]
4-66-36-4
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[5]
Linette M.
7-616-2
Rybakina E.[22]
Azarenka V.[24]
7-646-3
Quarter-finals
Rybakina E.[22]
Ostapenko J.[17]
6-26-4
Linette M.
Pliskova K.[30]
6-37-5
Sabalenka A.[5]
Vekic D.
6-36-2
Azarenka V.[24]
Pegula J.[3]
6-46-1
R16
Linette M.
Garcia C.[4]
7-636-4
Sabalenka A.[5]
Bencic B.[12]
7-56-2
Rybakina E.[22]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-46-4
Ostapenko J.[17]
Gauff C.[7]
7-56-3
Azarenka V.[24]
Zhu L.
4-66-16-4
Vekic D.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-21-66-3
Pliskova K.[30]
Zhang S.[23]
6-06-4
Pegula J.[3]
Krejcikova B.[20]
7-56-2
R32
Rybakina E.[22]
Collins D.[13]
6-25-76-2
Pegula J.[3]
Kostyuk M.
6-06-2
Krejcikova B.[20]
Kalinina A.
6-26-3
Azarenka V.[24]
Keys M.[10]
1-66-26-1
Zhu L.
Sakkari M.[6]
7-631-66-4
Pliskova K.[30]
Gracheva V.
6-46-2
Linette M.
Alexandrova E.[19]
6-36-4
Bencic B.[12]
Giorgi C.
6-27-5
Sabalenka A.[5]
Mertens E.[26]
6-26-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Bucsa C.
6-06-1
Garcia C.[4]
Siegemund L.
1-66-36-3
Fruhvirtova L.
Vondrousova M.
7-52-66-3
Vekic D.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-26-2
Gauff C.[7]
Pera B.
6-36-2
Zhang S.[23]
Volynets K.
6-36-2
Ostapenko J.[17]
Baindl K.
6-36-0
R64
Baindl K.
Mcnally C.
6-17-64
Gauff C.[7]
Raducanu E.
6-37-64
Pegula J.[3]
Sasnovich A.
6-27-65
Keys M.[10]
Wang X.
6-36-2
Azarenka V.[24]
Podoroska N.
6-16-0
Sabalenka A.[5]
Rogers S.
6-36-1
Krejcikova B.[20]
Burel C.
6-46-1
Vekic D.
Samsonova L.[18]
6-36-0
Kostyuk M.
Gadecki O.
6-26-1
Linette M.
Kontaveit A.[16]
3-66-36-4
Bucsa C.
Andreescu B.
2-67-676-4
Collins D.[13]
Muchova K.
6-716-27-66
Ostapenko J.[17]
Bondar A.
7-655-76-0
Pera B.
Zheng Q.[29]
6-46-4
Zhu L.
Teichmann J.[32]
6-26-2
Sakkari M.[6]
Shnaider D.
3-67-56-3
Pliskova K.[30]
Putintseva Y.
6-07-5
Zhang S.[23]
Martic P.
6-36-3
Alexandrova E.[19]
Townsend T.
1-66-26-3
Siegemund L.
Begu I.[27]
5-77-56-3
Garcia C.[4]
Fernandez L.
7-657-5
Giorgi C.
Schmiedlova A.
6-46-3
Bencic B.[12]
Liu C.
7-636-3
Parrizas Diaz N.
Potapova A.
6-36-2
Fruhvirtova L.
Birrell K.
6-36-2
Vondrousova M.
Jabeur O.[2]
6-15-76-1
Volynets K.
Kudermetova V.[9]
6-42-66-2
Gracheva V.
Stefanini L.
6-36-1
Swiatek I.[1]
Osorio C.
6-26-3
Mertens E.[26]
Davis L.
6-46-3
Kalinina A.
Kvitova P.[15]
7-56-4
Rybakina E.[22]
Juvan K.
6-26-1
R128
Osorio C.
Udvardy P.
6-46-1
Andreescu B.
Bouzkova M.[25]
6-26-4
Krejcikova B.[20]
Bejlek S.
6-36-1
Burel C.
Gibson T.
6-36-4
Keys M.[10]
Blinkova A.
6-43-66-2
Azarenka V.[24]
Kenin S.
6-47-63
Shnaider D.
Kucova K.
7-667-5
Kudermetova V.[9]
Zanevska M.
6-27-64
Townsend T.
Parry D.
6-16-1
Alexandrova E.[19]
Bonaventure Y.
6-26-1
Garcia C.[4]
Sebov K.
6-36-0
Rogers S.
Hartono A.
6-46-3
Davis L.
Kovinic D.
1-67-56-1
Mertens E.[26]
Muguruza G.
3-67-636-1
Schmiedlova A.
Trevisan M.[21]
6-36-2
Giorgi C.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-06-1
Parrizas Diaz N.
Haddad Maia B.[14]
7-6116-2
Kontaveit A.[16]
Grabher J.
6-26-3
Kvitova P.[15]
Van Uytvanck A.
7-636-2
Gadecki O.
Kudermetova P.
7-56-1
Ostapenko J.[17]
Yastremska D.
6-46-2
Kostyuk M.
Anisimova A.[28]
6-36-4
Gauff C.[7]
Siniakova K.
6-16-4
Birrell K.
Kanepi K.[31]
3-67-646-1
Samsonova L.[18]
Paolini J.
6-26-4
Begu I.[27]
Mandlik E.
3-67-616-2
Sabalenka A.[5]
Martincova T.
6-16-4
Baindl K.
Rakhimova K.
7-56-786-1
Bencic B.[12]
Tomova V.
6-16-2
Potapova A.
Stephens S.
7-626-4
Gracheva V.
Kasatkina D.[8]
6-16-1
Mcnally C.
Pigossi L.
7-56-1
Zheng Q.[29]
Galfi D.
6-06-2
Raducanu E.
Korpatsch T.
6-36-2
Pegula J.[3]
Cristian J.
6-06-1
Podoroska N.
Jeanjean L.
6-06-3
Sakkari M.[6]
Yuan Y.
6-16-4
Zhang S.[23]
Tig P.
6-14-66-0
Martic P.
Golubic V.
6-36-4
Liu C.
Brengle M.
6-36-4
Vekic D.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-22-67-67
Fruhvirtova L.
Fourlis J.
6-06-4
Vondrousova M.
Riske Amritraj A.
5-76-16-4
Jabeur O.[2]
Zidansek T.
7-684-66-1
Linette M.
Sherif M.
7-56-1
Siegemund L.
Bronzetti L.
2-66-46-3
Wang X.
Hunter S.
7-626-4
Bondar A.
Bogdan A.
6-22-66-3
Sasnovich A.
Fruhvirtova B.
7-56-2
Pera B.
Uchijima M.
2-66-36-1
Muchova K.
Tsurenko L.
6-26-1
Fernandez L.
Cornet A.
7-56-2
Swiatek I.[1]
Niemeier J.
6-47-5
Rybakina E.[22]
Cocciaretto E.
7-56-3
Juvan K.
Janicijevic S.
7-56-1
Collins D.[13]
Kalinskaya A.
7-55-76-4
Zhu L.
Marino R.
6-26-4
Putintseva Y.
Cirstea S.
2-66-46-3
Pliskova K.[30]
Wang X.
6-16-3
Volynets K.
Rodina E.
6-36-2
Bucsa C.
Lys E.
2-66-06-2
Kalinina A.
Vandeweghe C.
6-36-1
Teichmann J.[32]
Dart H.
7-56-1
Stefanini L.
Maria T.
3-67-56-4