Danielle Collins vs Elena RybakinaSan Jose Quarter-final

San Jose · WTA · Quarter-final
#343WTA
1844ELO
1772Hard ELO
32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 August 2021
hard
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Collins D.
7-6 7-6
Rybakina E.
Collins D.
77772
Rybakina E.
65640

Danielle Collins defeated Elena Rybakina 7-6 7-6 in the San Jose quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 3–1, but Danielle Collins had arrived on a 7-match winning run. Danielle Collins narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-18MiamiFhardDanielle Collins7-5 6-3
2024-02-05Abu DhabiR16hardElena Rybakina4-6 6-3 6-3
2023-01-16Australian OpenR32hardElena Rybakina6-2 5-7 6-2
2023-01-02Adelaide 1R32hardElena Rybakina5-7 6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Collins D.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Rybakina E.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Collins D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Collins D.Rybakina E.
Serve
100
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.8
6.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
92
Break points saved·Even
95
98
Break points won·Even
99
96
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
97
Tiebreaks·Even
96
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.4Hard Elo 1772
Surface ELO
9.6+338 Hard Elo edge
0.8Overall Elo 1844
ELO gap
9.2Overall Elo 2122
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
6.3
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.7
Minutes 14d
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
2.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Rybakina E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast