Katie Boulter vs Jasmine PaoliniLinz Round of 32

Linz · WTA · Round of 32
#60WTA
1831ELO
1795Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 January 2024
hard
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Boulter K.
6-2 6-2
Paolini J.
Boulter K.
662
Paolini J.
220

Katie Boulter defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-2 6-2 in the Linz round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 4–0. Katie Boulter claimed a first win over Jasmine Paolini in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

04
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-23MeridaQFhardJasmine Paolini0-6 6-3 6-3
2025-04-22MadridR64clayJasmine Paolini6-1 6-2
2024-06-24EastbourneQFgrassJasmine Paolini6-1 7-6(0)
2022-03-07Indian WellsR128hardJasmine Paolini6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Boulter K.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Boulter K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Boulter K.Paolini J.
21
Serve
31
67
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
49%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.3
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (118 vs 138). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
87
89
Break points saved·Even
86
87
Break points won·Slight edge
93
99
Deciding sets·Even
94
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.8Hard Elo 1795
Surface ELO
6.2+78 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1905
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.8
Surface form
6.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
76

Boulter K.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
3°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 72%