Jasmine Paolini vs Katie Boulter — Indian Wells Round of 128

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 128
Jasmine Paolini
ITA
Jasmine Paolini
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 March 2022
hard
Katie Boulter
GBR
Katie Boulter
#60WTA
1831ELO
1795Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLW
Paolini J.
6-3 6-2
Boulter K.
Paolini J.
662
Boulter K.
320

Jasmine Paolini defeated Katie Boulter 6-3 6-2 in the Indian Wells round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 32. Jasmine Paolini extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

3–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-23MeridaQFhardJasmine Paolini0-6 6-3 6-3
2025-04-22MadridR64clayJasmine Paolini6-1 6-2
2024-06-24EastbourneQFgrassJasmine Paolini6-1 7-6(0)
2024-01-29LinzR32hardKatie Boulter6-2 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Boulter K.

Boulter K.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paolini J.Boulter K.
31
Serve
21
55
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Paolini J.Boulter K.
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.3
3.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 187). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paolini J.Boulter K.
Clutch Rating·Even
89
87
Break points saved·Even
87
86
Break points won·Slight edge
99
93
Deciding sets·Even
97
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paolini J.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Boulter K.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
6.2+78 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1795
6.3Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1831
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
5.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.7
Minutes 14d
8.4
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paolini J.Boulter K.
Freshness·Clear edge
76
98

Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Boulter K.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 10%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[3]
Sakkari M.[6]
6-46-1
Semi-finals
Sakkari M.[6]
Badosa P.[5]
6-24-66-1
Swiatek I.[3]
Halep S.[24]
7-666-4
Quarter-finals
Swiatek I.[3]
Keys M.[25]
6-16-0
Badosa P.[5]
Kudermetova V.[21]
6-36-2
Sakkari M.[6]
Rybakina E.[17]
7-56-4
Halep S.[24]
Martic P.
6-16-1
R16
Keys M.[25]
Dart H.
6-16-4
Badosa P.[5]
Fernandez L.[18]
6-46-4
Kudermetova V.[21]
Vondrousova M.[30]
7-656-757-5
Halep S.[24]
Cirstea S.[26]
6-16-4
Martic P.
Samsonova L.[28]
7-666-4
Sakkari M.[6]
Saville D.
4-1
Swiatek I.[3]
Kerber A.[15]
4-66-26-3
Rybakina E.[17]
Golubic V.[31]
7-656-2
R32
Cirstea S.[26]
Kalinskaya A.
5-76-16-0
Halep S.[24]
Gauff C.[16]
6-36-4
Martic P.
Raducanu E.[11]
6-736-47-5
Samsonova L.[28]
Kovinic D.
6-47-64
Kerber A.[15]
Kasatkina D.[23]
6-26-1
Dart H.
Kanepi K.
7-646-3
Keys M.[25]
Riske Amritraj A.
7-646-1
Badosa P.[5]
Sorribes Tormo S.[32]
7-646-1
Fernandez L.[18]
Rogers S.
6-13-66-3
Vondrousova M.[30]
Kontaveit A.[4]
3-67-57-65
Sakkari M.[6]
Kvitova P.[27]
6-36-0
Saville D.
Mertens E.[20]
6-34-66-3
Rybakina E.[17]
Azarenka V.[13]
6-36-4
Golubic V.[31]
Paolini J.
7-51-67-64
Kudermetova V.[21]
Bouzkova M.
6-40-2
Swiatek I.[3]
Tauson C.[29]
6-736-26-1
R64
Raducanu E.[11]
Garcia C.
6-13-66-1
Kovinic D.
Pliskova K.[7]
2-67-56-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Kalinina A.
5-76-06-1
Tauson C.[29]
Haddad Maia B.
6-46-3
Kasatkina D.[23]
Volynets K.
6-44-67-5
Kanepi K.
Bencic B.[22]
6-46-3
Keys M.[25]
Doi M.
6-43-66-1
Badosa P.[5]
Martincova T.
6-27-64
Fernandez L.[18]
Anisimova A.
2-67-60
Bouzkova M.
Pegula J.[14]
5-76-26-0
Vondrousova M.[30]
Frech M.
6-16-3
Sakkari M.[6]
Siniakova K.
6-37-5
Kvitova P.[27]
Sasnovich A.
6-746-46-4
Mertens E.[20]
Kostyuk M.
6-26-1
Saville D.
Jabeur O.[9]
7-56-706-4
Azarenka V.[13]
Sharma A.
6-37-5
Paolini J.
Sabalenka A.[2]
2-66-36-3
Halep S.[24]
Alexandrova E.
6-24-66-2
Gauff C.[16]
Liu C.
6-17-64
Samsonova L.[28]
Li A.
4-66-46-3
Kudermetova V.[21]
Osaka N.
6-06-4
Dart H.
Svitolina E.[12]
2-66-36-3
Sorribes Tormo S.[32]
Juvan K.
3-67-56-3
Martic P.
Zidansek T.[19]
7-57-66
Riske Amritraj A.
Muguruza G.[8]
0-66-36-1
Rogers S.
Ostapenko J.[10]
7-57-67
Kerber A.[15]
Zheng Q.
6-25-76-4
Kontaveit A.[4]
Kucova K.
6-46-1
Cirstea S.[26]
Tomljanovic A.
6-47-5
Rybakina E.[17]
Van Uytvanck A.
6-17-5
Kalinskaya A.
Cornet A.[33]
6-40-66-2
Golubic V.[31]
Putintseva Y.
6-32-66-4
R128
Kostyuk M.
Zanevska M.
6-757-667-5
Liu C.
Tomova V.
7-626-4
Garcia C.
Yastremska D.
6-46-787-5
Martic P.
Bondar A.
7-56-3
Juvan K.
Dodin O.
6-36-3
Anisimova A.
Navarro E.
6-26-2
Rogers S.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-15-77-63
Osaka N.
Stephens S.
3-66-16-2
Frech M.
Sherif M.
6-27-5
Sharma A.
Linette M.
6-47-61
Van Uytvanck A.
Galfi D.
7-636-4
Putintseva Y.
Krueger A.
6-36-2
Kalinskaya A.
Tan H.
6-21-0
Haddad Maia B.
Kenin S.
6-37-5
Volynets K.
Rus A.
4-66-46-1
Zheng Q.
Zvonareva V.
6-36-2
Doi M.
Potapova A.
0-66-46-3
Riske Amritraj A.
Mcnally C.
6-06-3
Martincova T.
Watson H.
6-26-1
Dart H.
Konjuh A.
6-13-1
Sasnovich A.
Osorio C.
6-45-0
Paolini J.
Boulter K.
6-36-2
Kucova K.
Ruse E.
4-66-46-1
Kovinic D.
Teichmann J.
7-57-5
Kanepi K.
Montgomery R.
6-36-3
Kalinina A.
Burel C.
6-36-2
Bouzkova M.
Wang Q.
6-37-65
Alexandrova E.
Kalieva E.
4-66-27-67
Saville D.
Zhang S.
6-36-2
Tomljanovic A.
Baptiste H.
6-22-66-2
Li A.
Brengle M.
1-67-656-0
Siniakova K.
Begu I.
6-24-66-4