Brandon Nakashima vs Raphael CollignonOttignies-Louvain-la-Neuve CH Round of 16

Ottignies-Louvain-la-Neuve CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#32ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 January 2024
hard
#42ATP
1894ELO
1837Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWWWLW
Nakashima B.
6-3 6-2
Collignon R.
Nakashima B.
662
Collignon R.
320

Brandon Nakashima defeated Raphael Collignon 6-3 6-2 in the Ottignies-Louvain-la-Neuve CH round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #32, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Brandon Nakashima extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneQFhardBrandon Nakashima6-3 6-3
2025-05-18HamburgR32clayBrandon Nakashima6-5 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Collignon R.

Collignon R.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Collignon R.
61
Serve
39
23
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
40%
Break points saved·Even
66%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.6
5.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (176 vs 136). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
74
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
90
Break points won·Dominant
13
55
Deciding sets·Clear edge
64
83
Tiebreaks·Even
89
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 203 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1788
Surface ELO
5.8+49 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1894
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.0
Surface form
3.5
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
90
74

Nakashima B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Collignon R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast