Daniel Altmaier vs Felix Auger AliassimeAuckland Round of 16

Auckland · ATP · Round of 16
#61ATP
1734ELO
1652Hard ELO
$574kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 January 2024
hard
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
Altmaier D.
7-6 7-5
Auger Aliassime F.
Altmaier D.
71172
Auger Aliassime F.
6950

Daniel Altmaier defeated Felix Auger Aliassime 7-6 7-5 in the Auckland round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Daniel Altmaier narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-26Roland GarrosR128clayFelix Auger Aliassime4-6 6-4 4-6 6-1 7.10-6.7
2025-10-27Paris MastersR16hardFelix Auger Aliassime3-6 6-3 6-2
2025-05-18HamburgR32clayFelix Auger Aliassime6-3 6-3
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersR64clayDaniel Altmaier7-6(5) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Altmaier D.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Auger Aliassime F.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Altmaier D.

Serve advantage — Auger Aliassime F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Altmaier D.Auger Aliassime F.
17
Serve
74
4
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.7
9.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (153 vs 156). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
71
84
Break points saved·Even
96
100
Break points won·Clear edge
34
50
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
82
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
1.0Hard Elo 1652
Surface ELO
9.0+281 Hard Elo edge
1.3Overall Elo 1734
ELO gap
8.7Overall Elo 1958
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.6
Surface form
7.8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
93
53

Altmaier D.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Auger Aliassime F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 112 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 71%