Alex De Minaur vs Jannik SinnerParis Masters Round of 16

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#5ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Sets
Walkover
Monday, 30 October 2023
hard
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
De Minaur A.
vs
Sinner J.

Alex De Minaur advanced past Jannik Sinner via walkover in the Paris Masters round of 16. Alex De Minaur claimed a first win over Jannik Sinner in 14 meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 13–1.

Head to head

013
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-09Tour FinalsSFhardJannik Sinner7-5 6-2
2025-10-20ViennaSFhardJannik Sinner6-3 6-4
2025-09-25BeijingSFhardJannik Sinner6-3 4-6 6-2
2025-01-13Australian OpenQFhardJannik Sinner6-3 6-2 6-1
2024-11-23Davis Cup Finals SF: ITA vs AUSRRhardJannik Sinner6-3 6-4
2024-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardJannik Sinner6-3 6-4
2024-02-12RotterdamFhardJannik Sinner7-5 6-4
2023-11-26Davis Cup Finals F: AUS vs ITARRhardJannik Sinner6-3 6-0
2023-08-07Canada MastersFhardJannik Sinner6-4 6-1
2022-05-02Madrid MastersR32clayJannik Sinner6-4 6-1
2022-01-17Australian OpenR16hardJannik Sinner7-6(3) 6-3 6-4
2020-11-09SofiaQFhardJannik Sinner6-7(3) 6-4 6-1
2019-11-05NextGen FinalsFhardJannik Sinner4-2 4-1 4-2

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Sinner J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Sinner J.
48
Serve
100
80
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
58%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
71%
Return points won·Even
41%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
61%
74%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.2
7.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
95
100
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Even
97
100
Deciding sets·Even
97
100
Tiebreaks·Even
99
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
9.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.0Hard Elo 1935
Surface ELO
9.0+328 Hard Elo edge
0.7Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
9.3Overall Elo 2320
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.7
Surface form
9.1
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.4
Minutes 14d
4.3
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
4.6
Country comfort
5.7
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
80
43

De Minaur A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 109 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
12°CDrizzle
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 92%