Jannik Sinner vs Alex De MinaurNextGen Finals Final

NextGen Finals · ATP · Final
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
3 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 5 November 2019
hard
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Sinner J.
4-2 4-1 4-2
De Minaur A.
Sinner J.
4443
De Minaur A.
2120

Jannik Sinner defeated Alex De Minaur 4-2 4-1 4-2 in the NextGen Finals final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 12–0. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 13–0.

Key context

Head to head

120
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-09Tour FinalsSFhardJannik Sinner7-5 6-2
2025-10-20ViennaSFhardJannik Sinner6-3 6-4
2025-09-25BeijingSFhardJannik Sinner6-3 4-6 6-2
2025-01-13Australian OpenQFhardJannik Sinner6-3 6-2 6-1
2024-11-23Davis Cup Finals SF: ITA vs AUSRRhardJannik Sinner6-3 6-4
2024-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardJannik Sinner6-3 6-4
2024-02-12RotterdamFhardJannik Sinner7-5 6-4
2023-11-26Davis Cup Finals F: AUS vs ITARRhardJannik Sinner6-3 6-0
2023-08-07Canada MastersFhardJannik Sinner6-4 6-1
2022-05-02Madrid MastersR32clayJannik Sinner6-4 6-1
2022-01-17Australian OpenR16hardJannik Sinner7-6(3) 6-3 6-4
2020-11-09SofiaQFhardJannik Sinner6-7(3) 6-4 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

De Minaur A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.De Minaur A.
100
Serve
48
100
Return
80

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
58%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
74%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.4
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
95
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Even
100
97
Deciding sets·Even
100
97
Tiebreaks·Even
100
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
55
64

Sinner J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 94 games (7d) · De Minaur A.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 97 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast