Alexander Bublik vs Frances Tiafoe — Paris Masters Round of 64

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 64
Alexander Bublik
KAZ
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 October 2023
hard
Frances Tiafoe
USA14
Frances Tiafoe
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Bublik A.
6-3 6-4
Tiafoe F.
Bublik A.
662
Tiafoe F.
340

Alexander Bublik defeated Frances Tiafoe 6-3 6-4 in the Paris Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, defending last year's round of 64. Alexander Bublik extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

2–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-04WimbledonR32grassAlexander Bublik6-4 6.5-7.7 6.11-7.13 6-4 3-6
2022-06-27WimbledonR32grassFrances Tiafoe3-6 7-6(1) 7-6(3) 6-4
2022-06-20EastbourneR32grassAlexander Bublik5-7 7-6(4) 6-0
2019-07-29WashingtonR32hardFrances Tiafoe6-1 7-6(5)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Tiafoe F.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Tiafoe F.
65
Serve
38
25
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Bublik A.Tiafoe F.
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.0
8.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (194 vs 190). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bublik A.Tiafoe F.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
83
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Slight edge
67
57
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
92
Tiebreaks·Even
96
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bublik A.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Tiafoe F.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.1Hard Elo 1837
Surface ELO
4.9+25 Hard Elo edge
5.5Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1918
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
3.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Minutes 14d
6.6
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
5.3
Country comfort
4.5
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bublik A.Tiafoe F.
Freshness·Slight edge
70
76

Bublik A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Tiafoe F.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
12°CDrizzle
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 92%
Final
Djokovic N.[1]
Dimitrov G.
6-46-3
Semi-finals
Djokovic N.[1]
Rublev A.[5]
5-77-637-5
Dimitrov G.
Tsitsipas S.[7]
6-36-717-63
Quarter-finals
Dimitrov G.
Hurkacz H.[11]
6-14-66-4
Tsitsipas S.[7]
Khachanov K.[16]
6-36-4
Djokovic N.[1]
Rune H.[6]
7-56-736-4
Rublev A.[5]
De Minaur A.[13]
4-66-36-1
R16
De Minaur A.[13]
Sinner J.[4]
W/O
Khachanov K.[16]
Safiullin R.
4-66-46-2
Dimitrov G.
Bublik A.
6-26-2
Rune H.[6]
Altmaier D.
6-36-3
Rublev A.[5]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-36-3
Hurkacz H.[11]
Cerundolo F.
6-46-3
Tsitsipas S.[7]
Zverev A.[10]
7-626-4
Djokovic N.[1]
Griekspoor T.
4-67-626-4
R32
Altmaier D.
Fritz T.[9]
W/O
Bublik A.
Jarry N.
7-637-63
Hurkacz H.[11]
Bautista Agut R.
6-36-2
Djokovic N.[1]
Etcheverry T.
6-36-2
Griekspoor T.
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-26-2
Rune H.[6]
Thiem D.
6-46-2
Sinner J.[4]
Mcdonald M.
6-767-56-1
Van De Zandschulp B.
Paul T.[12]
6-42-66-3
Rublev A.[5]
Nishioka Y.
6-46-3
Cerundolo F.
Ruud C.[8]
7-56-4
Dimitrov G.
Medvedev D.[3]
6-36-747-62
Zverev A.[10]
Humbert U.
6-46-737-65
Khachanov K.[16]
Djere L.
6-47-5
Safiullin R.
Alcaraz C.[2]
6-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[7]
Auger Aliassime F.
6-37-64
De Minaur A.[13]
Lajovic D.
4-66-46-4
R64
Bublik A.
Tiafoe F.[14]
6-36-4
Dimitrov G.
Musetti L.
6-26-746-3
Auger Aliassime F.
Struff J.
7-636-4
Humbert U.
Giron M.
6-46-3
Fritz T.[9]
Baez S.
6-16-4
Paul T.[12]
Gasquet R.
0-66-27-66
Griekspoor T.
Eubanks C.
6-726-36-4
Nishioka Y.
Thompson J.
7-654-66-2
Etcheverry T.
Kecmanovic M.
4-67-666-4
Davidovich Fokina A.
Shelton B.[15]
7-645-76-3
Altmaier D.
Fils A.
6-26-4
Thiem D.
Wawrinka S.
3-66-37-5
Lajovic D.
Bonzi B.
7-56-3
De Minaur A.[13]
Murray A.
7-654-67-5
Van De Zandschulp B.
Mannarino A.
6-47-5
Cerundolo F.
Monfils G.
4-67-627-5
Bautista Agut R.
Lehecka J.
6-46-2
Djere L.
Van Assche L.
6-766-46-4
Safiullin R.
Muller A.
7-646-3
Hurkacz H.[11]
Korda S.
6-36-766-3
Khachanov K.[16]
Purcell M.
6-46-4
Mcdonald M.
Wolf J.
1-66-46-2
Zverev A.[10]
Fucsovics M.
4-67-56-4
Jarry N.
Popyrin A.
7-57-66