Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander BublikWimbledon Round of 32

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 32
#19ATP
1918ELO
1823Grass ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 June 2022
grass
#11ATP
1889ELO
1802Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Tiafoe F.
3-6 7-6 7-6 6-4
Bublik A.
Tiafoe F.
3777763
Bublik A.
6616341

Frances Tiafoe defeated Alexander Bublik 3-6 7-6 7-6 6-4 in the Wimbledon round of 32 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 32, but Frances Tiafoe had been the form player, winning 7 of their last 8 on grass. Frances Tiafoe narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-04WimbledonR32grassAlexander Bublik6-4 6.5-7.7 6.11-7.13 6-4 3-6
2023-10-30Paris MastersR64hardAlexander Bublik6-3 6-4
2022-06-20EastbourneR32grassAlexander Bublik5-7 7-6(4) 6-0
2019-07-29WashingtonR32hardFrances Tiafoe6-1 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
46%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Even
64%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.0
11.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
83
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Slight edge
57
67
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
99
Tiebreaks·Even
98
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.9+21 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
6.1Grass Elo 1802
4.5Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1889
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.2
Surface form
5.8
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
6.3
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
4.9
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
72
66

Tiafoe F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d) · Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
17°CDrizzle
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 66%
R128
Molcan A.
Martinez P.[19]
4-66-46-46-1
Basilashvili N.[6]
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6-32-66-36-4
Mcdonald M.
Borges N.
6-46-47-63
Paul T.[21]
Verdasco F.
6-16-27-64
Djokovic N.[7]
Kwon S.
6-33-66-36-4
Kubler J.
Evans D.[28]
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Kokkinakis T.
Majchrzak K.
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Tabilo A.[30]
Djere L.
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Halys Q.
Paire B.
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Opelka R.[15]
Taberner C.
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Sinner J.[1]
Wawrinka S.
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Ymer M.
Altmaier D.
6-37-57-5
Isner J.[20]
Couacaud E.
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Otte O.[32]
Gojowczyk P.
6-16-26-1
Harrison C.
Clarke J.
7-636-17-66
Griekspoor T.
Fognini F.
5-77-56-36-4
Alcaraz C.[5]
Struff J.
4-67-54-67-636-4
Ruud C.[11]
Ramos A.
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Humbert U.[27]
Etcheverry T.[29]
6-33-64-66-36-4
Goffin D.
Albot R.
6-26-27-65
Baez S.[31]
Daniel T.
6-46-47-5
Tiafoe F.[17]
Vavassori A.
6-46-46-4
Bublik A.[10]
Fucsovics M.
6-16-26-4
Norrie C.[26]
Andujar P.
6-07-636-3
Munar J.
Monteiro T.
6-26-47-5
Peniston R.
Laaksonen H.
6-46-36-2
Mannarino A.
Purcell M.
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Vesely J.
Coria F.
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Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Hurkacz H.[7]
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Grenier H.
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6-37-606-752-66-4
Bonzi B.
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Brooksby J.[29]
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De Minaur A.[5]
Dellien H.
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Draper J.
Bergs Z.
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Broady L.
Klein L.
4-66-37-56-726-3
Schwartzman D.[12]
Kozlov S.
6-36-26-2
Shapovalov D.[13]
Rinderknech A.[25]
6-16-766-746-46-1
Nakashima B.[28]
Kuhn N.
6-36-716-36-2
Galan D.
Koepfer D.
6-47-57-61
Bautista Agut R.[17]
Balazs A.
6-16-06-3
Kyrgios N.
Jubb P.
3-66-17-56-737-5
Thompson J.
Carballes Baena R.
6-46-16-1
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Ritschard A.
7-616-35-76-4
Sock J.
Zapata Miralles B.
7-666-46-4
Giron M.
Rune H.[24]
6-37-56-4
Gray A.
Tseng C.
6-36-37-63
Fritz T.[6]
Musetti L.
6-46-46-3
Ruusuvuori E.
Nishioka Y.
6-26-24-66-4
Van De Zandschulp B.[21]
Lopez F.
6-26-36-3
Sonego L.[27]
Kudla D.
6-766-37-54-66-2
Gaston H.
Popyrin A.
6-24-60-67-636-3
Berankis R.
Querrey S.
6-47-56-3
Nadal R.[2]
Cerundolo F.[18]
6-46-33-66-4
Lajovic D.
Carreno Busta P.[16]
3-66-4
Johnson S.
Dimitrov G.
4-65-2
Garin C.
Ymer E.
6-37-56-4
Cressy M.
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
6-756-47-697-65
Murray A.
Duckworth J.
4-66-36-26-4
Novak D.
Bagnis F.
7-672-66-46-3
Marterer M.
Bedene A.
4-67-56-47-5
Van Rijthoven T.
Delbonis F.
7-676-16-2
Krajinovic F.[26]
Lehecka J.[13]
5-76-46-757-656-4
Gasquet R.
Sousa J.
7-676-24-64-66-3