

Frances Tiafoe defeated Alexander Bublik 3-6 7-6 7-6 6-4 in the Wimbledon round of 32 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 32, but Frances Tiafoe had been the form player, winning 7 of their last 8 on grass. Frances Tiafoe narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Wimbledon | R32 | grass | Alexander Bublik | 6-4 6.5-7.7 6.11-7.13 6-4 3-6 |
| 2023-10-30 | Paris Masters | R64 | hard | Alexander Bublik | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2022-06-20 | Eastbourne | R32 | grass | Alexander Bublik | 5-7 7-6(4) 6-0 |
| 2019-07-29 | Washington | R32 | hard | Frances Tiafoe | 6-1 7-6(5) |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.