Alexander Bublik vs Nicolas Jarry — Paris Masters Round of 32

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 32
Alexander Bublik
KAZ
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 October 2023
hard
Nicolas Jarry
CHI
Nicolas Jarry
#764ATP
1648ELO
1574Hard ELO
$70kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
Bublik A.
7-6 7-6
Jarry N.
Bublik A.
77772
Jarry N.
63630

Alexander Bublik defeated Nicolas Jarry 7-6 7-6 in the Paris Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, defending last year's round of 64. Alexander Bublik claimed a first win over Nicolas Jarry in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-02-04Davis Cup QLS R1: KAZ vs CHIRRclayNicolas Jarry6-2 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Jarry N.

Jarry N.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Jarry N.
65
Serve
—
25
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Bublik A.Jarry N.
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Even
35%
34%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
11.0
9.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (194 vs 154). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bublik A.Jarry N.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
48
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
67
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
57
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bublik A.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Jarry N.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.5+263 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Hard Elo 1574
8.5Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1648
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
6.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Minutes 14d
6.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
4.0
5.3
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bublik A.Jarry N.
Freshness·
74
—

Bublik A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
12°CDrizzle
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 92%
Final
Djokovic N.[1]
Dimitrov G.
6-46-3
Semi-finals
Djokovic N.[1]
Rublev A.[5]
5-77-637-5
Dimitrov G.
Tsitsipas S.[7]
6-36-717-63
Quarter-finals
Dimitrov G.
Hurkacz H.[11]
6-14-66-4
Tsitsipas S.[7]
Khachanov K.[16]
6-36-4
Djokovic N.[1]
Rune H.[6]
7-56-736-4
Rublev A.[5]
De Minaur A.[13]
4-66-36-1
R16
De Minaur A.[13]
Sinner J.[4]
W/O
Khachanov K.[16]
Safiullin R.
4-66-46-2
Dimitrov G.
Bublik A.
6-26-2
Rune H.[6]
Altmaier D.
6-36-3
Rublev A.[5]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-36-3
Hurkacz H.[11]
Cerundolo F.
6-46-3
Tsitsipas S.[7]
Zverev A.[10]
7-626-4
Djokovic N.[1]
Griekspoor T.
4-67-626-4
R32
Altmaier D.
Fritz T.[9]
W/O
Bublik A.
Jarry N.
7-637-63
Hurkacz H.[11]
Bautista Agut R.
6-36-2
Djokovic N.[1]
Etcheverry T.
6-36-2
Griekspoor T.
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-26-2
Rune H.[6]
Thiem D.
6-46-2
Sinner J.[4]
Mcdonald M.
6-767-56-1
Van De Zandschulp B.
Paul T.[12]
6-42-66-3
Rublev A.[5]
Nishioka Y.
6-46-3
Cerundolo F.
Ruud C.[8]
7-56-4
Dimitrov G.
Medvedev D.[3]
6-36-747-62
Zverev A.[10]
Humbert U.
6-46-737-65
Khachanov K.[16]
Djere L.
6-47-5
Safiullin R.
Alcaraz C.[2]
6-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[7]
Auger Aliassime F.
6-37-64
De Minaur A.[13]
Lajovic D.
4-66-46-4
R64
Bublik A.
Tiafoe F.[14]
6-36-4
Dimitrov G.
Musetti L.
6-26-746-3
Auger Aliassime F.
Struff J.
7-636-4
Humbert U.
Giron M.
6-46-3
Fritz T.[9]
Baez S.
6-16-4
Paul T.[12]
Gasquet R.
0-66-27-66
Griekspoor T.
Eubanks C.
6-726-36-4
Nishioka Y.
Thompson J.
7-654-66-2
Etcheverry T.
Kecmanovic M.
4-67-666-4
Davidovich Fokina A.
Shelton B.[15]
7-645-76-3
Altmaier D.
Fils A.
6-26-4
Thiem D.
Wawrinka S.
3-66-37-5
Lajovic D.
Bonzi B.
7-56-3
De Minaur A.[13]
Murray A.
7-654-67-5
Van De Zandschulp B.
Mannarino A.
6-47-5
Cerundolo F.
Monfils G.
4-67-627-5
Bautista Agut R.
Lehecka J.
6-46-2
Djere L.
Van Assche L.
6-766-46-4
Safiullin R.
Muller A.
7-646-3
Hurkacz H.[11]
Korda S.
6-36-766-3
Khachanov K.[16]
Purcell M.
6-46-4
Mcdonald M.
Wolf J.
1-66-46-2
Zverev A.[10]
Fucsovics M.
4-67-56-4
Jarry N.
Popyrin A.
7-57-66