Nicolas Jarry vs Alexander BublikDavis Cup QLS R1: KAZ vs CHI Round Robin

Davis Cup QLS R1: KAZ vs CHI · ATP · Round Robin
#764ATP
1648ELO
1642Clay ELO
$70kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 4 February 2023
clay
#11ATP
1889ELO
1822Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Jarry N.
6-2 6-2
Bublik A.
Jarry N.
662
Bublik A.
220

Nicolas Jarry defeated Alexander Bublik 6-2 6-2 in the Davis Cup QLS R1: KAZ vs CHI round robin on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Nicolas Jarry claimed a first win over Alexander Bublik in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-30Paris MastersR32hardAlexander Bublik7-6(3) 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Jarry N.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Jarry N.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Jarry N.Bublik A.
Serve
55
Return
51

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
46%
Service points won·Even
67%
65%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.5
11.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (155 vs 195). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
48
88
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Dominant
4
67
Deciding sets·Dominant
57
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
79
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.1Clay Elo 1642
Surface ELO
7.9+181 Clay Elo edge
1.5Overall Elo 1648
ELO gap
8.5Overall Elo 1889
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
2.2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
4.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
74

Bublik A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About