Shintaro Mochizuki vs Alexei Popyrin — Tokyo Quarter-final

Tokyo · ATP · Quarter-final
JPN
Shintaro Mochizuki
#130ATP
1488ELO
1432Hard ELO
$203kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 October 2023
hard
AUS
Alexei Popyrin
#61ATP
1774ELO
1697Hard ELO
$439kYTD
$9.5MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLLW

Shintaro Mochizuki defeated Alexei Popyrin 7-5 2-6 7-5 in the Tokyo quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexei Popyrin came in ranked #61, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mochizuki S.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Popyrin A.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.1Hard Elo 1432
Surface ELO
7.9+265 Hard Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1488
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1774
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
1.6
Surface form
4.4
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
8.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
4.0
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Mochizuki S.
7272
Popyrin A.
5651

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
1.13
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 42%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Mochizuki S.Popyrin A.
52%1st serve in+11%63%
66%1st serve points won+9%75%
46%2nd serve points won+6%52%
56%Service points won+11%67%
37%Return points won+6%31%
57%Break points saved57%
3.3Aces / match+7.711
6.2Double faults / match+4.41.8

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Shelton B.
Karatsev A.
7-56-1
Semi-finals
Shelton B.
Giron M.
6-727-656-4
Karatsev A.
Mochizuki S.
6-36-4
Quarter-finals
Shelton B.
Paul T.[5]
7-646-3
Karatsev A.
De Minaur A.[4]
6-36-2
Mochizuki S.
Popyrin A.
7-52-67-5
Giron M.
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
6-16-4
R16
Giron M.
Ruud C.[2]
6-36-4
Mochizuki S.
Fritz T.[1]
0-66-47-62
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Ofner S.
6-46-1
Shelton B.
Thompson J.
6-756-46-3
Paul T.[5]
Mcdonald M.
6-46-2
Karatsev A.
Zhang Z.
6-36-4
De Minaur A.[4]
Schwartzman D.
6-07-5
Popyrin A.
Garin C.
4-67-636-2
R32
Ruud C.[2]
Watanuki Y.
7-666-3
Mcdonald M.
Purcell M.
7-56-4
Popyrin A.
Khachanov K.[7]
6-46-2
Karatsev A.
Tiafoe F.[6]
6-37-64
Zhang Z.
Hurkacz H.
3-66-47-64
Mochizuki S.
Etcheverry T.
6-47-65
Paul T.[5]
Altmaier D.
3-66-16-3
Shelton B.
Daniel T.
3-66-47-62
Thompson J.
Zverev A.[3]
6-36-4
Ofner S.
Oconnell C.
6-727-657-5
Giron M.
Nishioka Y.
7-6144-66-1
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Vukic A.
7-636-726-2
Garin C.
Shimabukuro S.
6-43-66-3
De Minaur A.[4]
Draper J.
4-67-647-61
Schwartzman D.
Cerundolo F.
6-46-1
Fritz T.[1]
Norrie C.
6-46-3