Chun Hsin Tseng vs Shintaro MochizukiShanghai Masters Qualifying Round 1

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#234ATP
1554ELO
1495Hard ELO
$99kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
hard
#115ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Tseng C.
4-6 6-1 6-4
Mochizuki S.
Tseng C.
4662
Mochizuki S.
6141

Chun Hsin Tseng defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 4-6 6-1 6-4 in the Shanghai Masters qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Shintaro Mochizuki came in ranked #115.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Tseng C.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Tseng C.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Even
61%
57%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
26
52
Break points saved·Slight edge
83
74
Break points won·Dominant
15
55
Deciding sets·Clear edge
31
46
Tiebreaks·Dominant
23
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+70 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1425
5.3Overall Elo 1554
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1475
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
2.4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
83

Tseng C.: 21 days rest · Mochizuki S.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 51%