Elise Mertens vs Jasmine PaoliniMonastir Final

Monastir · WTA · Final
#27WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 October 2023
hard
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Mertens E.
6-3 6-0
Paolini J.
Mertens E.
662
Paolini J.
300

Elise Mertens defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-3 6-0 in the Monastir final on hard. Elise Mertens extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-09RomeR32clayElise Mertens6-4 6-7 3-6
2024-06-24EastbourneR16grassJasmine Paolini5-2 RET
2022-02-21DohaR64hardElise Mertens6-3 2-6 7-5
2021-10-06Indian WellsR64hardJasmine Paolini3-6 6-4 6-4
2020-08-10PragueR32clayElise Mertens7-5 4-6 6-3
2018-04-21Fed Cup WG R1: BEL vs ITARRclayElise Mertens6-1 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Mertens E.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mertens E.Paolini J.
51
Serve
31
54
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.0
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (172 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
80
89
Break points saved·Even
90
87
Break points won·Even
96
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1847
Surface ELO
5.4+25 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1894
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1905
5.4
H2H
4.6
4.3
Surface form
6.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
1.3
7.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
78
76

Mertens E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast