Jasmine Paolini vs Elise MertensIndian Wells Round of 64

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 64
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 6 October 2021
hard
#27WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Paolini J.
3-6 6-4 6-4
Mertens E.
Paolini J.
3662
Mertens E.
6441

Jasmine Paolini defeated Elise Mertens 3-6 6-4 6-4 in the Indian Wells round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17. Jasmine Paolini narrowed the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

15
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-09RomeR32clayElise Mertens6-4 6-7 3-6
2024-06-24EastbourneR16grassJasmine Paolini5-2 RET
2023-10-16MonastirFhardElise Mertens6-3 6-0
2022-02-21DohaR64hardElise Mertens6-3 2-6 7-5
2020-08-10PragueR32clayElise Mertens7-5 4-6 6-3
2018-04-21Fed Cup WG R1: BEL vs ITARRclayElise Mertens6-1 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Mertens E.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Serve advantage — Mertens E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paolini J.Mertens E.
31
Serve
51
55
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
68%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.3
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
80
Break points saved·Even
87
90
Break points won·Even
99
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
76
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+25 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1847
5.3Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1894
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
4.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
8.5
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
5.4
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
72
74

Paolini J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Mertens E.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
32°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 26%

Draw