Liudmila Samsonova vs Elena RybakinaMontreal Semi-final

Montreal · WTA · Semi-final
#41WTA
1775ELO
1723Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 August 2023
hard
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Samsonova L.
1-6 6-1 6-2
Rybakina E.
Samsonova L.
1662
Rybakina E.
6121

Liudmila Samsonova defeated Elena Rybakina 1-6 6-1 6-2 in the Montreal semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, but Liudmila Samsonova had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Liudmila Samsonova extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

32
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-18StrasbourgFclayElena Rybakina6-1 6-7(2) 6-1
2024-02-05Abu DhabiSFhardElena Rybakina6-0 4-6 6-2
2023-10-02BeijingSFhardLiudmila Samsonova7-6(7) 6-3
2022-09-19TokyoR32hardLiudmila Samsonova6-2 6-4
2021-08-09MontrealR64hardLiudmila Samsonova6-4 5-7 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Samsonova L.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Rybakina E.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Samsonova L.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Samsonova L.Rybakina E.
38
Serve
100
5
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
55%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
64%
Return points won·Even
42%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
6.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (174 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
69
92
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
98
Break points won·Even
94
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
55
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1723
Surface ELO
10.0+387 Hard Elo edge
0.4Overall Elo 1775
ELO gap
9.6Overall Elo 2122
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.1
Surface form
8.6
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.8
Minutes 14d
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
91

Samsonova L.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Rybakina E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw

Semi-finals
Pegula J.[4]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-26-746-4
Samsonova L.[15]
Rybakina E.[3]
1-66-16-2