Liudmila Samsonova vs Elena RybakinaTokyo Round of 32

Tokyo · WTA · Round of 32
#41WTA
1775ELO
1723Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 September 2022
hard
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Samsonova L.
6-2 6-4
Rybakina E.
Samsonova L.
662
Rybakina E.
240

Liudmila Samsonova defeated Elena Rybakina 6-2 6-4 in the Tokyo round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, but Liudmila Samsonova had arrived on a 10-match winning run. Liudmila Samsonova extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

32
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-18StrasbourgFclayElena Rybakina6-1 6-7(2) 6-1
2024-02-05Abu DhabiSFhardElena Rybakina6-0 4-6 6-2
2023-10-02BeijingSFhardLiudmila Samsonova7-6(7) 6-3
2023-08-07MontrealSFhardLiudmila Samsonova1-6 6-1 6-2
2021-08-09MontrealR64hardLiudmila Samsonova6-4 5-7 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Samsonova L.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Rybakina E.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Samsonova L.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Samsonova L.Rybakina E.
38
Serve
100
5
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
55%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.9
6.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.1
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
69
92
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
98
Break points won·Even
94
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
55
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1723
Surface ELO
10.0+387 Hard Elo edge
0.4Overall Elo 1775
ELO gap
9.6Overall Elo 2122
10.0
H2H
0.0
10.0
Surface form
7.3
10.010-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
4.6
3-set count
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
2.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
83
89

Samsonova L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 35 km/hHumidity 76%