Jasmine Paolini vs Madison Keys — Montreal Round of 32

Montreal · WTA · Round of 32
Jasmine Paolini
ITA
Jasmine Paolini
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
—
Sets
Walkover
Monday, 7 August 2023
hard
Madison Keys
USA13
Madison Keys
#22WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Paolini J.
vs
Keys M.

Jasmine Paolini advanced past Madison Keys via walkover in the Montreal round of 32. Jasmine Paolini extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-01WimbledonR16grassJasmine Paolini6-3 6-7(6) 5-5 RET
2023-02-20DubaiR64hardMadison Keys6-1 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Keys M.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Serve advantage — Keys M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paolini J.Keys M.
31
Serve
36
55
Return
29

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Paolini J.Keys M.
1st serve in·Even
68%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.4
4.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 154). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paolini J.Keys M.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
94
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
96
Break points won·Slight edge
99
90
Deciding sets·Even
97
97
Tiebreaks·Even
93
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paolini J.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Keys M.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1873
Surface ELO
5.2+48 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1987
0.0
H2H
10.0
2.4
Surface form
5.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.7
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paolini J.Keys M.
Freshness·Slight edge
76
82

Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Keys M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw

Final
Pegula J.[4]
Samsonova L.[15]
6-16-0
Semi-finals
Pegula J.[4]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-26-746-4
Samsonova L.[15]
Rybakina E.[3]
1-66-16-2
Quarter-finals
Pegula J.[4]
Gauff C.[6]
6-25-77-5
Rybakina E.[3]
Kasatkina D.[10]
5-77-57-68
Samsonova L.[15]
Bencic B.[12]
6-46-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Collins D.
6-34-66-2
R16
Swiatek I.[1]
Muchova K.[14]
6-14-66-4
Gauff C.[6]
Vondrousova M.[9]
6-36-0
Rybakina E.[3]
Stephens S.
6-36-3
Bencic B.[12]
Kvitova P.[7]
6-736-36-1
Kasatkina D.[10]
Bouzkova M.
6-36-4
Samsonova L.[15]
Sabalenka A.[2]
7-624-66-3
Collins D.
Fernandez L.
6-26-3
Pegula J.[4]
Paolini J.
6-46-0
R32
Muchova K.[14]
Cirstea S.
7-56-4
Pegula J.[4]
Putintseva Y.
6-46-4
Paolini J.
Keys M.[13]
W/O
Stephens S.
Azarenka V.[16]
W/O
Gauff C.[6]
Boulter K.
6-26-2
Rybakina E.[3]
Brady J.
6-737-656-3
Bencic B.[12]
Parks A.
6-35-76-4
Sabalenka A.[2]
Martic P.
6-37-65
Samsonova L.[15]
Zheng Q.
6-36-2
Vondrousova M.[9]
Wozniacki C.
6-27-5
Kvitova P.[7]
Giorgi C.
6-25-76-0
Fernandez L.
Haddad Maia B.[11]
7-55-76-3
Collins D.
Sakkari M.[8]
6-46-2
Kasatkina D.[10]
Blinkova A.
6-27-5
Swiatek I.[1]
Pliskova K.
7-666-2
Bouzkova M.
Garcia C.[5]
6-44-66-2
R64
Paolini J.
Vekic D.
7-636-2
Zheng Q.
Kostyuk M.
6-21-66-3
Samsonova L.[15]
Siniakova K.
4-66-26-3
Muchova K.[14]
Potapova A.
7-646-2
Pliskova K.
Zhu L.
6-36-786-2
Haddad Maia B.[11]
Frech M.
6-46-2
Fernandez L.
Stearns P.
6-36-2
Collins D.
Svitolina E.
6-26-2
Putintseva Y.
Pera B.
6-36-4
Keys M.[13]
Williams V.
6-27-5
Vondrousova M.[9]
Sherif M.
6-46-2
Boulter K.
Marino R.
6-36-1
Bouzkova M.
Day K.
7-616-3
Kasatkina D.[10]
Mertens E.
6-46-2
Azarenka V.[16]
Linette M.
6-36-0
Stephens S.
Kalinina A.
6-47-62
Brady J.
Ostapenko J.
7-670-67-68
Giorgi C.
Andreescu B.
6-36-2
Bencic B.[12]
Bronzetti L.
6-26-3
Wozniacki C.
Birrell K.
6-26-2
Parks A.
Davis L.
7-54-66-2
Martic P.
Bucsa C.
6-06-4
Cirstea S.
Gracheva V.
6-47-63
Blinkova A.
Zhang S.
4-66-26-3