Jasmine Paolini vs Madison Keys — Wimbledon Round of 16

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 16
Jasmine Paolini
ITA13
Jasmine Paolini
#17WTA
1905ELO
1748Grass ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
0 — 0
Sets
Retired
Monday, 1 July 2024
grass
Madison Keys
USA26
Madison Keys
#22WTA
1987ELO
1843Grass ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Paolini J.
6-3 6-7 5-5
Keys M.
Paolini J.
6665–
Keys M.
3785–

Jasmine Paolini advanced when Madison Keys retired 6-3 6-7 5-5 in the Wimbledon round of 16. Jasmine Paolini claimed a first win over Madison Keys in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-02-20DubaiR64hardMadison Keys6-1 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Keys M.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Paolini J.Keys M.
1st serve in·Even
67%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (138 vs 105). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paolini J.Keys M.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
94
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
96
Break points won·Slight edge
99
90
Deciding sets·Even
97
97
Tiebreaks·Even
93
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paolini J.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Keys M.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0Grass Elo 1748
Surface ELO
5.0+95 Grass Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1987
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.3
Surface form
7.9
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
7.9
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
6.5
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paolini J.Keys M.
Freshness·Slight edge
72
77

Paolini J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Keys M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw

Final
Krejcikova B.[31]
Paolini J.[13]
6-22-66-4
Semi-finals
Krejcikova B.[31]
Rybakina E.[2]
3-66-36-4
Paolini J.[13]
Vekic D.[31]
2-66-47-68
Quarter-finals
Vekic D.[31]
Sun L.[9]
5-76-46-1
Rybakina E.[2]
Svitolina E.[8]
6-36-2
Krejcikova B.[31]
Ostapenko J.[13]
6-47-64
Paolini J.[13]
Navarro E.[23]
6-26-1
R16
Paolini J.[13]
Keys M.[26]
6-36-765-5
Rybakina E.[2]
Kalinskaya A.[19]
6-33-0
Sun L.[9]
Raducanu E.[30]
6-25-76-2
Svitolina E.[8]
Wang X.
6-26-1
Vekic D.[31]
Badosa P.
6-21-66-4
Navarro E.[23]
Gauff C.[7]
6-46-3
Krejcikova B.[31]
Collins D.[11]
7-56-3
Ostapenko J.[13]
Putintseva Y.
6-26-3
R32
Collins D.[11]
Haddad Maia B.[20]
6-46-4
Krejcikova B.[31]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-04-3
Putintseva Y.
Swiatek I.[3]
3-66-16-2
Sun L.[9]
Zhu L.[30]
7-647-66
Svitolina E.[8]
Jabeur O.[10]
6-17-64
Keys M.[26]
Kostyuk M.[12]
6-46-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Wozniacki C.
6-06-1
Gauff C.[7]
Kartal S.
6-46-0
Raducanu E.[30]
Sakkari M.[9]
6-26-3
Vekic D.[31]
Yastremska D.[28]
7-646-736-1
Navarro E.[23]
Shnaider D.[15]
2-66-36-4
Ostapenko J.[13]
Pera B.
6-16-3
Paolini J.[13]
Andreescu B.
7-646-1
Wang X.
Dart H.
2-67-56-3
Kalinskaya A.[19]
Samsonova L.[15]
7-646-2
Badosa P.
Kasatkina D.[14]
7-664-66-4
R64
Kartal S.
Burel C.
6-35-76-3
Haddad Maia B.[20]
Osorio C.
3-0
Krejcikova B.[31]
Volynets K.[5]
7-667-65
Sun L.[9]
Starodubtseva Y.
4-66-36-2
Zhu L.[30]
Pavlyuchenkova A.[25]
6-46-3
Sakkari M.[9]
Rus A.
7-56-3
Kasatkina D.[14]
Miyazaki Y.
6-06-0
Collins D.[11]
Galfi D.[10]
6-36-4
Putintseva Y.
Siniakova K.[32]
6-04-66-2
Paolini J.[13]
Minnen G.
7-656-2
Navarro E.[23]
Osaka N.[14]
6-46-1
Gauff C.[7]
Todoni A.
6-26-1
Kalinskaya A.[19]
Bouzkova M.[21]
6-46-1
Svitolina E.[8]
Niemeier J.
6-36-4
Dart H.
Boulter K.[32]
4-66-17-68
Andreescu B.
Noskova L.[9]
6-37-65
Kostyuk M.[12]
Saville D.
4-67-626-4
Wozniacki C.
Fernandez L.[22]
6-32-67-5
Swiatek I.[3]
Martic P.
6-46-3
Jabeur O.[10]
Montgomery R.
6-17-5
Vekic D.[31]
Andreeva E.
6-26-3
Shnaider D.[15]
Stephens S.
6-16-1
Keys M.[26]
Wang Y.
6-26-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Bucsa C.
7-616-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Siegemund L.
6-33-66-3
Badosa P.
Fruhvirtova B.
6-46-2
Pera B.
Garcia C.[23]
3-66-36-4
Ostapenko J.[13]
Snigur D.
6-36-0
Samsonova L.[15]
Avanesyan E.
6-36-3
Wang X.
Pegula J.[4]
6-46-776-1
Yastremska D.[28]
Gracheva V.
3-66-47-65
Raducanu E.[30]
Mertens E.[25]
6-16-2
R128
Siniakova K.[32]
Stakusic M.
6-46-2
Haddad Maia B.[20]
Frech M.
7-56-3
Bucsa C.
Bogdan A.
6-44-67-65
Jabeur O.[10]
Uchijima M.[8]
6-36-1
Galfi D.[10]
Sherif M.[21]
6-16-2
Miyazaki Y.
Korpatsch T.
6-26-1
Minnen G.
Watson H.
7-56-4
Volynets K.[5]
Carle M.
6-27-5
Zhu L.[30]
Begu I.
6-06-4
Sun L.[9]
Zheng Q.[8]
4-66-26-4
Rus A.
Yuan Y.[17]
6-26-3
Kostyuk M.[12]
Sramkova R.[16]
6-36-2
Fernandez L.[22]
Bronzetti L.[20]
6-46-3
Pera B.
Potapova A.[27]
6-746-47-66
Dart H.
Bai Z.
6-46-0
Vekic D.[31]
Wang X.
3-66-36-4
Andreescu B.
Cristian J.
6-46-2
Kartal S.
Cirstea S.[17]
3-66-26-0
Swiatek I.[3]
Kenin S.
6-36-4
Raducanu E.[30]
Zarazua R.
7-606-3
Osaka N.[14]
Parry D.
6-11-66-4
Navarro E.[23]
Wang Q.
6-06-2
Montgomery R.
Gadecki O.
6-46-4
Paolini J.[13]
Sorribes Tormo S.
7-56-3
Shnaider D.[15]
Pliskova K.
4-66-47-5
Kalinskaya A.[19]
Udvardy P.
6-36-2
Rybakina E.[2]
Ruse E.
6-36-1
Mertens E.[25]
Hibino N.
2-66-26-4
Todoni A.
Danilovic O.
7-56-1
Yastremska D.[28]
Podoroska N.
6-17-61
Badosa P.
Muchova K.[10]
6-36-2
Pegula J.[4]
Krueger A.
6-26-0
Siegemund L.
Baindl K.
6-46-1
Niemeier J.
Golubic V.
6-26-1
Starodubtseva Y.
Van Uytvanck A.
6-46-3
Martic P.
Jones F.
3-66-16-2
Garcia C.[23]
Blinkova A.
6-47-5
Snigur D.
Dodin O.
6-46-0
Collins D.[11]
Tauson C.[24]
6-37-64
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Vondrousova M.[6]
6-46-2
Wozniacki C.
Parks A.
6-26-0
Bouzkova M.[21]
Riera J.
6-26-1
Samsonova L.[15]
Masarova R.
6-34-66-2
Svitolina E.[8]
Linette M.
7-56-796-3
Boulter K.[32]
Maria T.
7-667-5
Wang X.
Tomova V.
7-643-66-0
Pavlyuchenkova A.[25]
Townsend T.
7-646-1
Fruhvirtova B.
Andreeva M.[5]
1-66-36-2
Andreeva E.
Bektas E.
7-653-66-3
Noskova L.[9]
Errani S.
7-636-1
Saville D.
Stearns P.
6-46-2
Keys M.[26]
Trevisan M.
6-47-64
Burel C.
Lys E.
6-26-4
Gauff C.[7]
Dolehide C.
6-16-2
Putintseva Y.
Kerber A.
7-56-3
Ostapenko J.[13]
Tomljanovic A.
6-16-2
Krejcikova B.[31]
Kudermetova V.
7-646-717-5
Avanesyan E.
Kalinina A.
6-26-3
Kasatkina D.[14]
Zhang S.
6-36-0
Osorio C.
Davis L.
6-36-1
Gracheva V.
Tsurenko L.
6-36-1
Wang Y.
Schmiedlova A.
6-03-66-4
Stephens S.
Jacquemot E.
6-36-3
Sakkari M.[9]
Kessler M.
6-36-1